前スレ 【政治経済】令和床屋談義 町の噂その755 https://egg.5ch.net/test/read.cgi/asia/1588951664/0203日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 01:50:11.54ID:+K1HWi57 Michael C. Bender / Wall Street Journal: Americans Are More Troubled by Police Actions in Killing of George Floyd Than by Violence at Protests, Poll Finds ? Eighty percent feel country is spiraling out of control, according to Wall Street Journal/NBC poll ? WASHINGTON?Americans by a 2-to-1 margin are more troubled by the actions
WSJ/NBC世論調査：米国民は抗議行動の暴動よりも警察がGeorge Floydを殺したことを、 より大きな問題としている。80%の国民は国の状況をアウト・オブ・コントロールと見る 0204日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 02:43:52.58ID:+K1HWi57 JD@JDWorldBriefing・9時間 公共宗教調査研究所（PRRI）の世論調査によれば、白人エヴァンジェリカルのトランプ 支持率が77％から62％、カトリックの支持率が60％から37％に低下したとのこと。ただ エヴァンジェリカルの支持率はそこまで低くなったとも言えません（19年時点とほぼ同 じ水準）。 Trump Favorability Slips Among White Catholic and Non-College Americans During National Unrest |... New data from PRRI shows that 41% of Americans hold favorable views of President Donald Trump. 0205日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 03:15:58.76ID:+K1HWi57https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/poll-trump-loses-ground-key-2016-voters-n1226971 A new poll shows Trump losing ground with key 2016 voters Biden’s overall lead over Trump has been a consistent 7 points in the last two NBC News/WSJ polls. NBC/WSJ世論調査：トランプ大統領は2016年選挙当時の支持基盤を失いつつあり 最近の2回の調査でバイデン候補に遅れを取っている
Remember that Trump lost the popular vote in 2016, but he lost it narrowly, by about 2 points. That closeness was what allowed him to win the Electoral College vote and the White House. A popular vote loss of 7 points would make such an Electoral College win extremely unlikely in 2020. 2016年大統領選挙でトランプは総投票数では2%負けていたが各州の選挙人集計では勝利 した。今回の世論調査では総投票数に相当する支持率でトランプは7%負けている
But narrowing a 7-point deficit is not an easy task. And other numbers in the latest NBC/WSJ poll make clear just how complicated that challenge may be. 7%の支持率の差は2016年より状況がトランプにとって厳しいことを示す
Trump has lost ground with many different kinds of voters. Start with education. One of Trump’s key strengths among voters has been his support among blue-collar workers without a college degree. In 2016, he lost college graduates by about 9 points, but won voters without a degree by about 8 points. There was an “education gap” in the results, but Trump gained as much as he lost in it. トランプのキイになる支持層である大卒未満のブルーカラー労働者において、トランプは 8%勝利したが大卒層については9%負けていた。 0206日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 03:16:32.93ID:+K1HWi57 But this week’s poll finds him leading among those without a degree by only about 3 points, while he is losing voters with a degree by 24 points. That’s a massive edge for Biden among voters with a degree and a much smaller edge for Trump among voters that are a big part of his base. 今回の世論調査では大卒未満層についてトランプの優位は3%であり、一方で大卒層での 対バイデンでの負けは24%である
And even if Trump can win back a chunk of his non-degree vote, the losses among those with a degree is sizable. He’d likely need to chip into that Biden’s college and graduate-degree edge to get a margin more to his liking.
Gender poses a similar problem. Trump has always leaned on male voters and done worse with women. He won men by about 12 points in 2016 and lost women by the same amount, about 12 points. トランプは常に男性の支持が女性のそれを上回るが、2016年では男性で12%優位、女性で 12%負けていた。
But in the new NBC/WSJ poll, his edge with men has eroded to about 8 points, and his deficit with women has exploded to 21 points. 今回の調査ではトランプの男性での優位は8%に低下し、女性での負けは21%である
In the new poll, Trump does better with African American and Hispanic voters than he did in 2016, though he still isn’t close to winning those groups. But his edge with white voters is down to just 6 points ? 49 percent to 43 percent for Biden ? and white voters still make up the overwhelming majority of the electorate. That 43 percent for Biden is an especially significant number. 0207日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 03:22:58.06ID:+K1HWi57 SHIRATORI Junichiro@jshiratori・10時間 香港に関する日本政府の対応の是非を論じる前の確認として、①現時点では共同通信の 独自報道で他紙が後追いするか未確定、②シリア関連の際はG7だが今回はおそらくファ イブアイズでメンバーシップが異なる、③日本は5/28に外務報道官談話で対応済、くら いは押さえたい。 https://mofa.go.jp/mofaj/press/danwa/page4_005159.html
Michito Tsuruoka / 鶴岡路人@MichitoTsuruoka・16時間 共同声明は、おそらくファイブ・アイズで話が始まり、他国を誘うということだったの だと思います。NZは最終的に参加を見送り、政府は若干苦しい言い訳。 NZ didn't join 'Five Eyes' in statement on Hong Kong Five Eyes commitment was to share intelligence, not a treaty with defined obligations. nzherald.co.nz 0208日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 05:19:56.39ID:+K1HWi57https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/707334?unlock=4IZSQ5RRHE9BO183 AGAINST THE GRAIN Republican loyalty to Trump won’t survive a November loss History shows politicians put their self-interest above all else. If the president is defeated, Republicans will be forced to reinvent themselves while leaving Trump behind.
The history of losing one-term presidents suggests that those repudiated at the ballot box become largely irrelevant in retirement. We didn’t hear much from George H.W. Bush or Jimmy Carter after they lost badly.
If Republicans want to win elections into the future in a diversifying America, they’re going to need to keep some distance from the president. They’re not suicidal. 0209日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 06:50:16.72ID:cMRowyEx>>203 この反応が良くわかんね 警官がFloydに対してとった行動はUS市民にとってそこまで非日常だったのかね？ 0210日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 07:22:39.40ID:u/b3uw5A>>209 うつぶせの首元を膝で押さえる、あれを止めろという話になってるけど、 今度は警官側が凶悪犯の確保に苦労しないといいな 0211日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 07:41:08.63ID:+K1HWi57https://www.axios.com/james-bennet-new-york-times-tom-cotton-a9f3d266-7917-45c9-adf3-557b5c51e12c.html 2 hours ago - Economy & Business James Bennet resigns as editor of New York Times editorial page Ursula Perano NYTの編集長James Bennet が辞任、Tom Cottonの評論を掲載した事を不適切と非難され
James Bennet has resigned as editor of the New York Times' editorial page, the paper announced Sunday. Why it matters: Bennet had been under fire for green-lighting an op-ed by Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) that called on President Trump to "send in the troops" in order to quell violent protests over the death of George Floyd. Times employees organized a protest on social media and claimed that publishing the op-ed put black staff in danger. 0212日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 07:46:27.89ID:+K1HWi57 Kazuto Suzuki@KS_1013・4時間 ブルンバーグのOp-edが、感染のリスクを気にしつつ、社会的正義を実現するための抗議 を行う方法として、街に繰り出す意外にも投票する、問題についての学習を深める、投書 欄に応募するなどを示唆。SNSに怒りをぶつけてもネガティブなやり取りになるだけと注意 している。 How to Join the Protests Without Risking Covid-19 Even if you’re worried about the pandemic, you can still be part of the fight for justice. bloomberg.com
Kazuto Suzuki@KS_1013・4時間 ガーディアンの世界各地にいる特派員が現在のアメリカの状況について各国がどう見ている かをまとめた記事。トランプがアメリカを分断しているというのは共通した見方のようだが、 アフリカが黒人差別反対運動に強い共感を持っているというのもよくわかる。 'Trump is tearing apart America': how the world sees the US protests The racial tensions in the US have emboldened both President Trump’s allies and his enemies theguardian.com 0213日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 07:49:29.69ID:+K1HWi57https://news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/330fc1fd19858cd9f9ab161227ebbd4bc9110cb9 片山さつき氏「中国批判声明」参加拒否ではない 6/7(日) 17:06配信
登録済み有権者1000人を対象とした同調査の誤差率はプラスマイナス3.1ポイント。「制 御不能」の質問の誤差率はプラスマイナス3.6ポイント。 原題：Most Americans Say Country ‘Out of Control’ in NBC-WSJ Poll（抜粋） 0217日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 11:03:31.27ID:+K1HWi57https://www.bloomberg.co.jp/news/articles/2020-06-07/QBKR9WDWRGG901 バイデン氏、ミシガン州で12ポイントのリード－最新世論調査 Emma Kinery 2020年6月8日 7:59 JST
同州の情勢に大きく影響することが多い無党派層の有権者の間では、バイデン氏支持率が 63％に対し、トランプ氏が23％。トランプ氏は2016年大統領選では、同州で0.3ポイント のリードで勝利していた。 原題：Biden’s Michigan Lead Surges to 12 Points: Campaign Update (抜粋) 0218日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 11:07:47.86ID:+K1HWi57 ロイター@ReutersJapan・1時間 米ワシントンで最大規模のデモ、暴動は沈静化（字幕・8日） https://twitter.com/i/status/1269787876792795141
ロイター@ReutersJapan・1時間 トランプ氏、首都デモ鎮圧に一時1万人の連邦軍投入望む＝政府高官 https://twitter.com/5chan_nel (5ch newer account) 0219日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 11:11:31.01ID:+K1HWi57 Financial Times@FinancialTimes・6時間 US companies flood civil rights groups with donations
Justice groups hard hit by pandemic have been revived amid Black Lives Matter protests ft.com 0220日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 11:16:18.23ID:+K1HWi57 The Economist@TheEconomist・2時間 American army leaders have sent a letter to soldiers clarifying that their oath to the constitution “includes the right of the people peaceably to assemble”
America’s top brass break with Donald Trump The President’s threat to send the troops into American cities alarms commanders economist.com 0221日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 12:41:12.31ID:+K1HWi57 アゴラ@agora_japan・4時間 【いま人気の記事1位】池田 信夫: 時の権力者に寄生する政治的ウイルス http://agora-web.jp/archives/2046494.html #アゴラ
「私が育った家から45分のところに、デービッド・デュークが住んでいた」とビクターさ んは語る。デューク氏は過激な白人至上主義団体クー・クラックス・クラン（KKK）のルイ ジアナ支部を創設した人物だ。ビクターさんは5月30日午後にワシントンで開かれた平和的 な抗議デモに参加し、黒人の国歌ととも呼ばれる「Lift every voice and sing（皆、声を 上げ、歌おう）」を合唱した。新型コロナに感染するリスクはあるが、連帯が重要だとビ クターさん。「黒人の命を奪うことが、この国ではパンデミックになっている」
A Message to the Carnegie Endowment Community The murder of George Floyd has underscored the deep inequities that have long plagued American society. In a note to the Carnegie community, Bill Burns reflects on Carnegie’s commitment to build a... carnegieendowment.org 0247日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 17:17:54.65ID:+K1HWi57 中山 俊宏 NAKAYAMA Toshihiro@tnak0214・7時間 外交問題評議会はハース会長のフォーリンアフェアズ誌の論考Foreign Policy by Example を掲載するとともに、世界中で連鎖的に発生したデモのフォトエッセイをアップ。
Photos: How George Floyd’s Death Sparked Protests Worldwide A U.S. police officer’s killing of George Floyd has sparked protests around the world against racial injustice and police brutality. cfr.org 0248日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 17:19:12.76ID:+K1HWi57 中山 俊宏 NAKAYAMA Toshihiro@tnak0214・7時間 米国が大きく動こうとする時に米国の各シンクタンクのHPのトップページを眺めるとその 組織の立ち位置が象徴的に再確認できて興味深い。戦略国際問題研究所のハムレ所長は、 人種問題は世界におけるアメリカの地位を脅かす問題になっていると言明。
A statement from CSIS President and CEO John Hamre CSIS condemns racism. csis.org 0249日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 17:26:10.34ID:s8nScOxu 中国の、ウイグル人、チベット人虐待は誰も問題にせんのか？ 情報公開されてる米国だけが叩かれて、中共・シナの方はどうなのだ？ 国際情報戦では米国は圧倒的に不利だよな。 0250日出づる処の名無し2020/06/08(月) 17:32:04.59ID:s8nScOxu 上にあるような、人の情緒的反応を期待するような書き方の記事は「要注意」だ。 裏に何らかの意図が隠されているかもしれないからだ。
ツイッター、もう終わりだね 0266日出づる処の名無し2020/06/09(火) 07:25:57.62ID:v9WOzMTN>>265 最初から終わっとる。 0267日出づる処の名無し2020/06/09(火) 11:41:40.38ID:V3xKIhzMhttps://www.politico.com/news/2020/06/08/trump-china-immigration-crime-campaign-307742 Trump’s emerging turnaround strategy: Focus on voters’ fears about crime, immigration and China As he slips in polls, the president is leaning more aggressively into themes that worked for him in 2016. トランプ大統領の巻き返し戦略：世論調査で支持率の低迷する中、大統領は2016年に成功した 戦略を更に攻撃的に使う：有権者の犯罪や移民、中国についての恐怖に焦点を当てる By NANCY COOK 06/08/2020 07:05 PM EDT
On Monday, the Trump campaign started rolling out the more aggressive tactics by lambasting liberals who want to defund police departments and divert some of that money to other community programs. The campaign hosted a call with reporters about that idea and issued two statements on Biden and policing. White House press secretary Kayleigh McEnany also countered the liberal movement with comments in support of police during her afternoon press briefing.
Trump himself has grown frustrated by the negative polling in recent weeks, confounded by Biden’s lead and frustrated by his own campaign actions and execution of strategy during the pandemic. The president is increasingly nostalgic about his 2016 race and the team that led him to victory ? much the way a man pines for an ex without remembering all of the relationship’s flaws, joked one Republican close to the White House. An incumbent’s campaign is inherently different than an upstart one, the Republican added, but Trump remains fixated on the 2016 win, those aides and those messages. 0268日出づる処の名無し2020/06/09(火) 11:45:15.67ID:V3xKIhzMhttps://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXMZO60007960V00C20A6I00000/ デジタル通貨、覇権争い新局面に 官民が連携の兆し 編集委員 西村博之 2020/6/9 11:00日本経済新聞 電子版
Yes, American police act like occupying armies. They literally studied their tactics | Stuart... The founders of modern policing quelled foreign uprisings. ‘De-militarizing’ police will be harder than taking away their tanks theguardian.com 0270日出づる処の名無し2020/06/09(火) 12:01:59.16ID:V3xKIhzM 藤原かずえ@kazue_fgeewara・1時間 全国で同一時期に発生し緊急事態宣言に依存しない同一形状のシンプルなカーヴ群から 推定されるのは、特定のインパルスのみに依存する初期値問題の挙動であり、これを素 直に説明するのは大澤省次氏の外的要因説です。意識変容主導説は非論理的です
By Zack Beauchamp@zackbeauchampzack@vox.com Jun 8, 2020, 10:00am EDT アンチファ（Antifa）とは何かを解説します： トランプ大統領のGeorge Floyd事件の抗議行動が危険とするために身代わり犠牲にされ ているアンチファについての解説
A May 31 memo from the FBI’s Washington field office reported “no intelligence indicating Antifa involvement/presence” in violent activities in the nation’s capital. Not a single one of the first 22 protest-related indictments nationwide indicated that antifa played a role in looting or property destruction. An Associated Press review of 217 arrests in Minneapolis and DC found that “of those charged with such offenses as curfew violations, rioting and failure to obey law enforcement, only a handful appeared to have any affiliation with organized groups.” FBIの31の報告書は「アンチファが抗議行動に関与するという情報はない」これは初期の の抗議行動のなかにアンチファの参加した事件はないとしている。APの記事はミネアア ポリスの抗議行動で逮捕された217人の中に「組織団体関連するものはわずかでしか無い」
The Trump administration’s attacks on antifa do not actually reflect the reality on the ground or the minuscule “threat” from the group. Instead, they serve primarily to stigmatize the protests themselves ? and justify harsh police responses. Take, for example, Trump’s repeated vows to label antifa a terrorist organization. He cannot do this legally: The federal government maintains a list of foreign terrorist organizations (FTOs); while there are antifa activists outside the US, the domestic groups do not have any meaningful organizational linkages with them. There is no such thing as a domestic terrorism designation, and it would require an act by Congress to create one. The president’s proposal is, legally speaking, impossible. 0279日出づる処の名無し2020/06/09(火) 21:14:37.36ID:Lz8OmGe4 「安倍総理は何をやっている」と仰るのをメディアで見るが40年以上も何もしなかった政治家や ”拉致なんか無い”と言っていたメディアがあったから安倍政権が苦しんでいる… 何もやっていない方が政権批判をするのは卑怯。的を射ていない発言はやめて欲しい
トランプ氏はツイッターで「警官に押されたデモ参加者は（極左集団）アンティファの扇 動家かもしれない」などと主張。これに対し、クオモ氏は９日の記者会見で「なんて無謀 で無責任、卑劣かつ不作法なんだ」と猛批判。ミネソタ州で起きた黒人男性暴行死を機に 抗議デモが全米に広がり、怒りが噴出する中でトランプ氏が「火に油を注いでいる」と指 摘した。 0295日出づる処の名無し2020/06/10(水) 08:17:16.61ID:fc3v2FEehttps://www.politico.com/news/2020/06/09/trump-conspiracy-theory-protester-buffalo-cops-308716 Trump’s conspiracy theory on 75-year-old protester draws sharp backlash The president’s tweet comes after a video of the encounter between Martin Gugino and two Buffalo police officers went viral online. By QUINT FORGEY 06/09/2020 10:13 AM EDT Updated: 06/09/2020 03:39 PM EDT トランプ大統領の75歳の抗議行動参加者への陰謀論はシャープな反動を引き起こす バッファローの警官とMartin Guginoの揉め事のビデオはネットで大きな話題になった
President Donald Trump has a long history of toying with conspiracy theories, many of which get little traction or even reaction. But his Twitter message on Tuesday suggesting that the 75-year-old man whose head was cracked open by Buffalo law enforcement last week was a tech-savvy “ANTIFA provocateur” prompted an immediate outcry, as well as support for the still-hospitalized victim.
Guginoの弁護士が反論を公表 Gugino’s attorney, Kelly Zarcone, pushed back against the president. “Martin has always been a PEACEFUL protestor because he cares about today’s society,” Zarcone said in a statement reported Tuesday by various media outlets. “He is also a typical Western New Yorker who loves his family.”
“No one from law enforcement has even suggested anything otherwise so we are at a loss to understand why the President of the United States would make such dark, dangerous, and untrue accusations against him,” Zarcone said, adding that although “Martin is out of ICU,” he is “still hospitalized and truly needs to rest.” The president’s conspiratorial social media post comes after a video of the encounter last Thursday between Gugino and officers in Buffalo, N.Y. ? shot by local NPR affiliate WBFO ? went viral online amid nationwide protests in the wake of the killing of George Floyd, a 46-year-old black man, by Minneapolis police. 0296日出づる処の名無し2020/06/10(水) 08:23:28.85ID:fc3v2FEehttps://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2020-06-09/trump-75-year-old-man Opinion: Even Trump supporters can’t possibly believe the 75-year-old bloodied by Buffalo police is antifa トランプ大統領の支持者でさえバッファロー警官により出血した75歳の男がアンチファ だとは思うことができない By Jon HealeyDeputy Editorial Page Editor June 9, 20209:45 AM Has President Trump finally found a way to dissolve his own coalition?
・・・・But the video of Gugino being toppled, injured and left behind by the men sworn to serve and protect him is hard to spin. So, too, are the hundreds of reports of police uses of force against protesters that are circulating online. 0297日出づる処の名無し2020/06/10(水) 11:38:07.60ID:fc3v2FEehttps://www.nbcnews.com/tech/social-media/president-trump-tweets-antifa-conspiracy-theory-originated-anonymous-blog-n1228356 President Donald Trump tweets 'antifa' conspiracy theory that originated on anonymous blog Trump suggested that Martin Gugino, 75, who was pushed by two police officers at a protest, may be an "ANTIFA provocateur." June 10, 2020, 12:49 AM JST By Ben Collins トランプ大統領の75歳の警官に倒された抗議行動者をアンチファの仕掛けという陰謀論は 右翼メディアの、多くの陰謀論を唱える匿名ブログがオリジナル
One America News Network claimed that Gugino, an activist from a Buffalo suburb, was using "common antifa tactics" when he was pushed by police. OANN reporter Kristian Rouz said the incident "could be the result of a false flag provocation by far-left group antifa."
Trump and many of his supporters have claimed with little evidence that antifa has been executing plans to cause unrest and spark violence during recent protests. Antifa, a loosely organized network of groups that use direct action to confront far-right and fascist groups, in reality has been found to have little involvement with the protests despite rumors circulating online and claims from some law enforcement officials.
Rouz, who previously worked for the Russian state media organization Sputnik, has a record of pushing baseless conspiracy theories on OANN. Last month, Rouz claimed that the coronavirus was a plot for "population control" by George Soros, Bill Gates, Dr. Anthony Fauci, Bill and Hillary Clinton and China. 0298日出づる処の名無し2020/06/10(水) 11:40:53.11ID:fc3v2FEehttps://jp.wsj.com/articles/SB11578154822283093739704586436640939930926 トランプ氏、国防長官解任を検討していた 軍投入巡り By Gordon Lubold 2020 年 6 月 10 日 06:43 JST 更新
動画にはグジーノさんが右手に携帯電話を持っている様子が映っていた。米国では、警察 無線を受信するポリス・スキャナーと呼ばれるアプリは完全に合法で、広く使われている。 この動画は警察による残虐行為への抗議が各地に広がっている米国で国民の怒りの火に油 を注いだ。 0300日出づる処の名無し2020/06/10(水) 11:49:53.07ID:fc3v2FEe Kazuto Suzuki@KS_1013・6分 トランプのツイート、最近は不作が続くと思っていたが、香ばしさが戻ってきた。NY州の バッファロー市で突き飛ばされ血を流していた75歳の男性はAntifaの煽動者かもしれない って…。警察無線をスキャンしてブラックアウトさせるなんて…。トランプ御用メディア のOANNもすごい陰謀論かましてきたな…。 0301日出づる処の名無し2020/06/10(水) 12:06:19.01ID:fc3v2FEehttps://www.politicususa.com/2020/06/09/white-voters-biden-trump.html TUE, JUN 9TH, 2020 BY JASON EASLEY White Voters Are Fleeing Trump And Flocking To Joe Biden 白人の有権者らはトランプから離れて、バイデン候補に押しかけて（Flocking To）いる
In the most recent polls, white voters without a college degree back the President by 21 points, down from 31 points in March and April and down from the 29-point lead Mr. Trump held in the final polls of registered voters in 2016. 最新の世論調査で白人・大卒未満の有権者のトランプ支持は21％で以前の31％から低下。 これは2016年選挙時には29%
Mr. Trump didn’t just lose support to the undecided column; Mr. Biden ticked up to an average of 37 percent among white voters without a degree. The figure would be enough to assure Mr. Biden the presidency, given his considerable strength among white college graduates. In the most recent polls, white college graduates back Mr. Biden by a 20-point margin, up four points since the spring. It’s also an eight-point improvement for the Democratic nominee since 2016, and a 26-point improvement since 2012. 白人・大卒未満の有権者のバイデン支持は37%に上昇。白人の大卒有権者はトランプ大統領 に対して20%のマージンでバイデン候補を支持している。これは2016年選挙に比べ8%の上昇。 0302日出づる処の名無し2020/06/10(水) 12:30:00.62ID:fc3v2FEe Financial Times@FinancialTimes・4時間 Republicans urge Trump to maintain US troop levels in Germany 共和党員はトランプ大統領にドイツでの米軍の駐留維持を求める Letter says pullback would embolden Kremlin in rare public break in party unity ft.com
