0001卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ 93d5-OFZS)2017/11/09(木) 06:34:25.36ID:kajSMCe00>>375 Go for it, and show your imbecility.
First and foremost, try to contradict my sarcasm.
Declaration of Do-Teihen, LOL
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all "uraguchi" are created retards, That they are endowed by their creator with certain unalienable traits, that among these are sloth, mythomania, and the pursuit of imbecility.
That to rectify these traits, Do-Teihen (exclusively bottom-leveled medical school,also known as Gachi'Ura) are instituted for retards, deriving their just powers from what has been referred as the arbitrary donation of the parents of the rectified, That whenever any form of the retards becomes destructive of rectification, it is the right of the Do-Teiken to suspend or expel them, and to impose additional tuition laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect the profit of Do-Teihen.
Prudence, indeed, will dictate that "uraguchi" long established cannot be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience has shown, that Gachi'Ura are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms from which they can pursue profit.
But when a long train of misbehavior and misconduct , showing invariably the same Imbecility evinces a design to reveal themselves as absolute Bona Fide Moron , it is their right, it is their duty, to expel such "uraguchi", and to provide new guards for their future security.
There will be no English response from bona fide Gachi'Ura morons.
Last but not least, it is not the bottom medical school but its enrollee that is despicable, which deserves to be called a bona fide moron beyond redemption.
この馬鹿ップルはみんなの笑いものですが一体誰なのでしょうか？それぞれ違う女もいるかもしれませんね。パズル 0331卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a9d5-/jLu)2017/11/17(金) 05:32:16.38ID:nWd9AfUJ0 When it comes to DoTeihen=Uraguchi analysis, both sampler yield the equivalent result of credibility 99% as shown in >231,234.
No Doteihen can contradict the conclusion by the Bayesian analyisis, because they are too imbecile to understand it.
How come such morons got matrification to DoTeihen?
It uses the fact that the highest density interval corresponds to shortest interval. I knew the fact but didn't think of adapting it to calculate the highest density.
The package HDInterval is developed by the same author Kruschke,J.K..
It is a pity that DoTeihen/Uraguchi has no chance of enjoying the wisdom that the cool script privides us. 0333卵の名無しさん (ｻｻｸｯﾃﾛﾛ Spd1-iqUY)2017/11/17(金) 08:48:01.05ID:cSMW65Map 高卒で最低3年以上浪人して、 競争率1倍少しの長崎の底辺大学やっと入れて、 その医大でも留年して、12年通って、 国試浪人20年以上の医学士が、 現役医科歯科合格国試一発合格、と偽り、 医科歯科封筒画像を貼り卒業の証拠とぬかし、 私立は底辺、私立は裏口と24時間365日罵るほどのコンプレックス 医業は穢業と論じ、医局を離れ内視鏡や当直バイトで稼ぐ優秀な医師と自己設定 自分と縁の無い専門医話、博士話に激怒する 翻訳サイトが作った駄英長文を貼る それもてめーの作品と称し貼る 拾いトーケー式をてめーの作品と称し貼る ちなみに、家庭教師バイトは半端ないクレームにて派遣会社破門 エロビデオ屋さんでバイト タダで鑑賞し、AV女優波田野由衣にときめく オナニは週8 今は実家で文京区白山に住み着くニート 給与明細を貼り、俺の収入だとぬかすが、何故か大半が隠され、どこの誰のものか不明 当直バイト明けはステーキハウスでワインを嗜む(と自己設定)
まとめると 浪人3年以上w 留年6回以上w 長崎w 実家は文京区白山w 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) w 平成9年卒w 国試浪人20年以上w 身分は医学士w オナニ週8！ ステーキハウスw 0334卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ c2f7-RjUU)2017/11/17(金) 13:04:44.89ID:nii6SWM60 # randam numbers by inverse culmutive density function
But inverse culmutive density function is not always available, we need another method. 0335卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ c2f7-RjUU)2017/11/17(金) 13:08:27.07ID:nii6SWM60 # randam numbers following PDF by Jhon von Neuman's method vonNeumann <- function(PDF,xmin=0,xmax=1){ N=10000 ymax=max(PDF(seq(xmin,xmax,length=N+1))) Ux=runif(N,xmin,xmax) Uy=runif(N,0,ymax) Rand=Ux[which(Uy<=PDF(Ux))] hist(Rand,xlim=c(xmin,xmax),freq=FALSE,breaks=30,col=sample(colors(),2),main='') curve(PDF,add=TRUE,lwd=2) invisible(Rand) } par(mfrow=c(2,2)) vonNeumann(function(x)dbeta(x,3.5,8.5)) vonNeumann(function(x)dgamma(x,3,1),0,10) vonNeumann(dnorm,xmin=-3,xmax=3) p=runif(1) f=function(x) p*dnorm(x,-3,1)+(1-p)*dnorm(x,3,3) vonNeumann(f,xmin=-10,xmax=10)
最後に「私はヒデキとSEXしたのに」「私はヒデキに裏切られたんでしょうか？」「あの女に謝罪は一切したくないです」 とキチガイの「うつ病」患者のブスが発狂 0338卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ c2f7-RjUU)2017/11/17(金) 15:51:16.29ID:nii6SWM60 This is the second law of DoTeihen,
The graduates of Do-Teihen are so ashamed that none of them dare to mention their own alma mater they have gone through.
Let's try again and validate the 2nd law of the Do-Teihen, exclusively bottom-leveled medical school.
>336
Which Gachi'Ura medical school have you gone through? 0339卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a1d9-JNqm)2017/11/17(金) 18:37:32.51ID:xppFhBla0 ふれー！ふれー！！
I can say I have understood what the author has pointed in http://www.indiana.edu/~kruschke/articles/Kruschke2013JEPG.pdf
Coin flippng is boring, but if we assimilate it to Uraguchi/DoTeihen probability analysis, it bears much fruit to evaluate DoTeihen morons. 0343卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a9d5-RjUU)2017/11/17(金) 19:45:53.99ID:nWd9AfUJ0 if you have basic knowledge of R, which DoTeihen/Uraguchi can never acquire,
I have seen the light now. 0346卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a9d5-RjUU)2017/11/17(金) 20:04:26.77ID:nWd9AfUJ0 NHST Has 100% False Alarm Rate in Sequential Testing (NHST : Null Hypothesis Significance Testing) Under NHST, sequential testing of data generated from the null hypothesis will eventually lead to a false alarm. With infinite patience, there is 100% probability of falsely rejecting the null. This is known as “sampling to reach a foregone conclusion” (e.g., Anscombe, 1954). To illustrate this phenomenon, a computer simulation generated random values from a normal distribution with mean zero and standard deviation one, assigning each sequential value alternately to one or the other of two groups, and at each step conducting a two-group t test assuming the current sample sizes were fixed in advance. Each simulated sequence began with N1=N2=3. If at any step the t test indicated p <0.05, the sequence was stopped and the total N (=N1+N2) was recorded.
I simulated and affirmed the above statement, applying t test, wilcoxon test, and permutation test. I have concluded it is not t test that cause false alarms but the sequential method itself terminating sampling by depending on p value.at
I had thought that it can be ascrived to methodologic issue , but now it seems it is not the case. 0347卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a9d5-RjUU)2017/11/17(金) 20:05:31.95ID:nWd9AfUJ0 NHST Has 100% False Alarm Rate in Sequential Testing (NHST : Null Hypothesis Significance Testing) Under NHST, sequential testing of data generated from the null hypothesis will eventually lead to a false alarm. With infinite patience, there is 100% probability of falsely rejecting the null. This is known as “sampling to reach a foregone conclusion” (e.g., Anscombe, 1954). To illustrate this phenomenon, a computer simulation generated random values from a normal distribution with mean zero and standard deviation one, assigning each sequential value alternately to one or the other of two groups, and at each step conducting a two-group t test assuming the current sample sizes were fixed in advance. Each simulated sequence began with N1=N2=3. If at any step the t test indicated p <0.05, the sequence was stopped and the total N (=N1+N2) was recorded.
I simulated and affirmed the above statement, applying t test, wilcoxon test, and permutation test. I have concluded it is not t test that cause false alarms but the sequential method itself terminating sampling by depending on p value.at
I had thought that it could be ascribed to methodologic issue , but now it seems it is not the case. 0348卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a9d5-RjUU)2017/11/17(金) 20:11:29.71ID:nWd9AfUJ0 Althogh "A p Value Depends on Sampling Intentions",
The sheer fact that being a DoTeihen graduate persists for good and all.
Last but not least,
Let's review the three laws of Do-Teihen which exist for our security.
Three laws of Do-Teihen Medical School, currently called Gachi'Ura by its graduates.
1: It is not bottom medical school but its enrollee that is despicable, which deserves to be called a bona fide moron beyond redemption.
2: The graduates of Do-Teihen are so ashamed that none of them dare to mention their own alma mater they have gone through.
3: The Do-Teihen graduates are so ashamed of having bought their way into the privately-founded exclusively bottom-leveled medical school namely unfair martrculation called Uraguchi that they tend to call a genuine doctor a charlatan who elucidates their imbecility. 0349卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a9d5-RjUU)2017/11/17(金) 20:13:20.47ID:nWd9AfUJ0>>345 (complementary remark)
I think it is a must to read this article for anyone who talks about statistics BUT FOR DOTEIHEN/URAGUCHI .
Let's review the three laws of Do-Teihen which exist for our security.
Three laws of Do-Teihen Medical School, currently called Gachi'Ura by its graduates.
1: It is not bottom medical school but its enrollee that is despicable, which deserves to be called a bona fide moron beyond redemption.
2: The graduates of Do-Teihen are so ashamed that none of them dare to mention their own alma mater they have gone through.
3: The Do-Teihen graduates are so ashamed of having bought their way into the privately-founded exclusively bottom-leveled medical school namely unfair martrculation called Uraguchi that they tend to call a genuine doctor a charlatan who elucidates their imbecility. 0350卵の名無しさん (ｽｯｯﾌﾟ Sd22-RYSZ)2017/11/17(金) 21:16:51.30ID:k5mcVCU9d 総理秘書官】Mathくん ◆8i2kdS4rgA 【国賓外科医 http://mevius.5ch.net/test/read.cgi/intro/1510582248/0351卵の名無しさん (ｻｻｸｯﾃﾛﾗ Spd1-iqUY)2017/11/18(土) 07:09:01.77ID:24K/fT/Lp 高卒で最低3年以上浪人して、 競争率1倍少しの長崎の底辺大学やっと入れて、 その医大でも留年して、12年通って、 国試浪人20年以上の医学士が、 現役医科歯科合格国試一発合格、と偽り、 医科歯科封筒画像を貼り卒業の証拠とぬかし、 私立は底辺、私立は裏口と24時間365日罵るほどのコンプレックス 医業は穢業と論じ、医局を離れ内視鏡や当直バイトで稼ぐ優秀な医師と自己設定 自分と縁の無い専門医話、博士話に激怒する 翻訳サイトが作った駄英長文を貼る それもてめーの作品と称し貼る 拾いトーケー式をてめーの作品と称し貼る ちなみに、家庭教師バイトは半端ないクレームにて派遣会社破門 エロビデオ屋さんでバイト タダで鑑賞し、AV女優波田野由衣にときめく オナニは週8 今は実家で文京区白山に住み着くニート 給与明細を貼り、俺の収入だとぬかすが、何故か大半が隠され、どこの誰のものか不明 当直バイト明けはステーキハウスでワインを嗜む(と自己設定)
まとめると 浪人3年以上w 留年6回以上w 長崎w 実家は文京区白山w 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) w 平成9年卒w 国試浪人20年以上w 身分は医学士w オナニ週8！ ステーキハウスw 0352卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a9d5-/jLu)2017/11/18(土) 07:34:07.15ID:P+b9/Ej30 It is very stupid of Do-Teihen/Uraguchi to think a bachelor can make this much money.
The only way for DoTeihen to negate being identified as Uraguchi is
to show the competency.
Unfortunately, Do-Teihen/Uraguchi's are intellectually too retarded to reply in English.
Or rather they stick to proving their imbecility by posting the same message about someone else . 0353卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a9d5-/jLu)2017/11/18(土) 07:45:34.79ID:P+b9/Ej30http://i.imgur.com/fmC24HX.jpg
When we get the knowledge of some laws or methods and we programmed to run them, we simply are eager to try them, aren't we.
This is the second law of DoTeihen,
The graduates of Do-Teihen are so ashamed that none of them dare to mention their own alma mater they have gone through.
Let's try and validate the 2nd law of the Do-Teihen, exclusively bottom-leveled medical school.
>351 Which Gachi'Ura medical school have you gone through?
Given the second laws, DoTeihen/Uraguchi will not reply, but there can be two reasens, one is they are too ashamed, the other is they are too retarded to understand English. 0354卵の名無しさん (ﾌﾞｰｲﾓ MMf6-axvV)2017/11/18(土) 10:39:10.37ID:V/eIhsOZM>>342 Suppose we flip a coin and record its head or tail as often as we can during one minute, or we inquire as many Do-teihens as we can during one week.
Sample size will be distributed in poisson distribution, and the head or Uraguchi number will be distributed in binomial distribution.
The one experiment resulted in N=24 flips or DoTeihens z=7 heads or Uraguchis.
Let the null hypothesis be P(coin==head) =0.5 or P(DoTeihen==Uraguchi)=0.5. JAGS model will be as follows:
model { z ~ dbin(0.5,N) N ~ dpois(lambda) p=z/N }
P-value, P(p<7/24) relies on lambda, the parameter of poisson distribution.
It is very intriguing discussion It is such a pity that Do-Teihen/Uraguchi cannot join the discussion due to their imbecility. 0355卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a1ab-RjUU)2017/11/18(土) 13:02:30.17ID:FiDbN6uZ0 Let's see how the poisson parameter λ affect the p.value.
I do not know how to combine the poisson distribution of N and binomial distribution on z analytically.
I used JAGS to get the distribution of p.value and graphed the relation.
for its R and JAGS code. 0356卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a1ab-RjUU)2017/11/18(土) 13:52:28.39ID:FiDbN6uZ0>>355 This is the distribution on proportion of head to flip with various λ, 95% highest density interval is also shown with black segments, red + denote2 7/24 proprotion.
Newton-Raphson tells us it is λ＝23.1014 when p.value=0.025 0358卵の名無しさん (JP 0Hcd-HT85)2017/11/18(土) 19:24:57.88ID:t3BwbscWH 0513 調査会社勤務の名無しさん「支払い能力」「慰謝料請求」と言ってた容疑者の音声、録音済
「私の男がこの女のSNS見て腹が立つんで「うつ病女」と言って嫌がらせしてください」と依頼 「この女のSNSを更新できないようにしてください」とキチガイ女は嫌がらせを１１月現在もしていますねｗ 0361卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a1ab-RjUU)2017/11/18(土) 21:05:32.58ID:FiDbN6uZ0 It is a sort of fun to reproduce the graphs in the book, and also modify it for my taste.
It is a pity that DoTeihen/Uraguchi are so retarded that their is no chance of gaining the wisdom. 0362卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a1d9-JNqm)2017/11/18(土) 21:32:57.59ID:q4fx+Uz40 ポークビッツ
↑これ誰のことだろう？来年、楽しみ！ 0369卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a1ab-RjUU)2017/11/19(日) 01:47:13.87ID:jxl8IDpR0 “under the Law of Diffusion of Idiocy, every foolish application of significance testing will beget a corresponding foolish practice for confidence limits.”
Abelson (1997) 0370卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a1ab-RjUU)2017/11/19(日) 01:49:13.86ID:jxl8IDpR0 A CI is merely two end points.
A common misconception of a confidence interval is that it indicates some sort of probability distribution over values of θ.
It is very tempting to think that values of θ in the middle of a CI should be more believable than values of θ at or beyond the limits of the CI 0371卵の名無しさん (JP 0Hcd-HT85)2017/11/19(日) 01:54:12.72ID:E6Kz/OFZH 3年付き合った男医師と結婚するナースです
まとめると 浪人3年以上w 留年6回以上w 長崎w 実家は文京区白山w 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) w 平成9年卒w 国試浪人20年以上w 身分は医学士w オナニ週8！ ステーキハウスw 0375卵の名無しさん (ﾌﾞｰｲﾓ MMf6-axvV)2017/11/19(日) 06:59:54.54ID:g3F55z9GM Iteration of the DoTeihen posting is only showing their idiocy.
Feel free to show the ability of Gachi' Ura graduates by posting in English.
まとめると 浪人3年以上w 留年6回以上w 長崎w 実家は文京区白山w 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) w 平成9年卒w 国試浪人20年以上w 身分は医学士w オナニ週8！ ステーキハウスw 0377卵の名無しさん (ﾌﾞｰｲﾓ MMf6-axvV)2017/11/19(日) 07:49:01.35ID:g3F55z9GM The DoTeihen/Uraguchi is just quibbling without cogent evidence.
I have already shown DoTeihen=Uraguchi credibility amounts to 99%, no contradictory opinion has been posted.
I had also posted the residency tax notice with the realtime image of my tablet PC at hand.
It is very stupid of Do-Teihen/Uraguchi to think a bachelor can make this much money.
The only way for DoTeihen to negate being identified as Uraguchi is
to show the competency.
Unfortunately, Do-Teihen/Uraguchi's are intellectually too retarded to reply in English.
Or rather they stick to proving their imbecility by posting the same message about someone else . 0378卵の名無しさん (ﾌﾞｰｲﾓ MMf6-axvV)2017/11/19(日) 07:55:09.20ID:g3F55z9GM Picking a story and sticking to it gets you nowhere unless ut is accompanypied with plausible evidence and cogent discussion, to which DoTeihen/Uraguchi will never reach. 0379卵の名無しさん (ﾌﾞｰｲﾓ MMf6-axvV)2017/11/19(日) 07:55:46.63ID:g3F55z9GM Picking a story and sticking to it gets you nowhere unless it is accompanied with plausible evidence and cogent discussion, to which DoTeihen/Uraguchi will never reach. 0380卵の名無しさん (ﾌﾞｰｲﾓ MMf6-axvV)2017/11/19(日) 08:03:50.15ID:g3F55z9GM>>379 Does anyone know what can DoTeihen reach to? The bottom, exactly. LOL LOL LOL 0381卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a1ab-RjUU)2017/11/19(日) 08:36:28.13ID:jxl8IDpR0 Not only the p-value but also the confidence interval will change accoridng to the stopping intention of the analysis.
Stopping at the limit of number of flip trials, or limit of the number of head change the interval border value.
http://i.imgur.com/XLHOo4n.png0382卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a1ab-RjUU)2017/11/19(日) 08:50:29.22ID:jxl8IDpR0 When we fix the analysis duration, it needs MCMC to figure out its confidence interval.
It'll be more intriguing when you adapt it not to coin flipping, but figuring out P(DoTeihen==Uraguchi), which turns out to be no less than 99%. 0383卵の名無しさん (ｻｻｸｯﾃﾛﾗ Spd1-iqUY)2017/11/19(日) 09:25:01.94ID:UreTLf66p 高卒で最低3年以上浪人して、 競争率1倍少しの長崎の底辺大学やっと入れて、 その医大でも留年して、12年通って、 国試浪人20年以上の医学士が、 現役医科歯科合格国試一発合格、と偽り、 医科歯科封筒画像を貼り卒業の証拠とぬかし、 私立は底辺、私立は裏口と24時間365日罵るほどのコンプレックス 医業は穢業と論じ、医局を離れ内視鏡や当直バイトで稼ぐ優秀な医師と自己設定 自分と縁の無い専門医話、博士話に激怒する 翻訳サイトが作った駄英長文を貼る それもてめーの作品と称し貼る 拾いトーケー式をてめーの作品と称し貼る ちなみに、家庭教師バイトは半端ないクレームにて派遣会社破門 エロビデオ屋さんでバイト タダで鑑賞し、AV女優波田野由衣にときめく オナニは週8 今は実家で文京区白山に住み着くニート 給与明細を貼り、俺の収入だとぬかすが、何故か大半が隠され、どこの誰のものか不明 当直バイト明けはステーキハウスでワインを嗜む(と自己設定)
まとめると 浪人3年以上w 留年6回以上w 長崎w 実家は文京区白山w 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) w 平成9年卒w 国試浪人20年以上w 身分は医学士w オナニ週8！ ステーキハウスw 0384卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a1ab-axvV)2017/11/19(日) 09:51:39.13ID:jxl8IDpR0>>383 The more the DoTeihen iterats, the more it proves that DoTrihen is tantamount to Uraguchi! LOL LOL LOL 0385卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a1ab-RjUU)2017/11/19(日) 12:48:53.36ID:jxl8IDpR0 When we set ROPE(Range of Practical Equivalenc) around null value(the value prescribed in null hypothesis),
we can reject or accept the null value as follows.
まとめると 浪人3年以上w 留年6回以上w 長崎w 実家は文京区白山w 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) w 平成9年卒w 国試浪人20年以上w 身分は医学士w オナニ週8！ ステーキハウスw 0388卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a1ab-RjUU)2017/11/19(日) 20:03:43.54ID:jxl8IDpR0 High density interval is very stable regardless of prior distribution, uniform, Haldane, and beta(2,4) respectively. Likelihood function = x^7*(1-x)^17
On the other hand, Bayesian factor is very sensitive to the selection of prior distribution.
Let's think of this equation.
Bona fide moron ∝ Uraguchi likelihoo × DoTeihen medical school
Remember the first law of DoTeihen,
It is not bottom medical school but its enrollee that is despicable, which deserves to be called a bona fide moron beyond redemption.
This suggests that we should not make much of the prior to deride DoTeihen graduates.
It seems to be theri intellect that is rotten to the core. 0389卵の名無しさん (ｻｻｸｯﾃﾛﾗ Spd1-iqUY)2017/11/19(日) 22:29:39.44ID:111FbGwpp 高卒で最低3年以上浪人して、 競争率1倍少しの長崎の底辺大学やっと入れて、 その医大でも留年して、12年通って、 国試浪人20年以上の医学士が、 現役医科歯科合格国試一発合格、と偽り、 医科歯科封筒画像を貼り卒業の証拠とぬかし、 私立は底辺、私立は裏口と24時間365日罵るほどのコンプレックス 医業は穢業と論じ、医局を離れ内視鏡や当直バイトで稼ぐ優秀な医師と自己設定 自分と縁の無い専門医話、博士話に激怒する 翻訳サイトが作った駄英長文を貼る それもてめーの作品と称し貼る 拾いトーケー式をてめーの作品と称し貼る ちなみに、家庭教師バイトは半端ないクレームにて派遣会社破門 エロビデオ屋さんでバイト タダで鑑賞し、AV女優波田野由衣にときめく オナニは週8 今は実家で文京区白山に住み着くニート 給与明細を貼り、俺の収入だとぬかすが、何故か大半が隠され、どこの誰のものか不明 当直バイト明けはステーキハウスでワインを嗜む(と自己設定)
まとめると 浪人3年以上w 留年6回以上w 長崎w 実家は文京区白山w 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) w 平成9年卒w 国試浪人20年以上w 身分は医学士w オナニ週8！ ステーキハウスw 0390卵の名無しさん (ﾌﾞｰｲﾓ MMcd-axvV)2017/11/20(月) 02:48:30.05ID:Peelxpb/M This is a very useful point to elaborate the parameters estimation and model comparison.
The proportion of the distribution inside the ROPE ratio is (approximately) the Bayes’ factor in favor of the null value.
The proportion of Uraguchi in DoTeihen is approximately our belief credibility that all Uraguchis are created retard.
Let's review the historical declaration. 0391卵の名無しさん (ﾌﾞｰｲﾓ MMcd-axvV)2017/11/20(月) 02:49:39.17ID:Peelxpb/M Declaration of Do-Teihen, LOL
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all "uraguchi" are created retards, That they are endowed by their creator with certain unalienable traits, that among these are sloth, mythomania, and the pursuit of imbecility.
That to rectify these traits, Do-Teihen (exclusively bottom-leveled medical school,also known as Gachi'Ura) are instituted for retards, deriving their just powers from what has been referred as the arbitrary donation of the parents of the rectified, That whenever any form of the retards becomes destructive of rectification, it is the right of the Do-Teiken to suspend or expel them, and to impose additional tuition laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect the profit of Do-Teihen.
Prudence, indeed, will dictate that "uraguchi" long established cannot be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience has shown, that Gachi'Ura are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms from which they can pursue profit.
But when a long train of misbehavior and misconduct , showing invariably the same Imbecility evinces a design to reveal themselves as absolute Bona Fide Moron , it is their right, it is their duty, to expel such "uraguchi", and to provide new guards for their future security.
There will be no English response from bona fide Gachi'Ura morons.
Last but not least, it is not the bottom medical school but its enrollee that is despicable, which deserves to be called a bona fide moron beyond redemption. 0392卵の名無しさん (ﾌﾞｰｲﾓ MMcd-axvV)2017/11/20(月) 02:55:04.78ID:Peelxpb/M>>391 It says self-evident, but it'll be more cogent with stastical analysis.
A TMDU graduate posted 49 messages all in English, the Uraguchis posted 34 messages, only one in English,"Fuck you!" and failed to write in English in 33 messages. Let's check if this difference is caused by chance or by competency. Frequentist's way of the analysis would be like this: > prop.test(c(49,1),c(49+0,1+33),correct=FALSE)$p.value [1] 6.377785e-19 > fisher.test(matrix(c(49,0,1,33),2))$p.value [1] 2.275804e-22
In Bayesian analysis, we assume that the probability of posting in English is distributed in uniform distribution. I have applied JAGS to find out distribution of each probability and their difference. The 99.9% confidence intervals of probability are compeletely distinct. We can conclude with more than 99.9% certainty that the difference in English posting is not by chance but by competency. I have illustrated the result above. i.imgur.com/odJlQM5.png 0393卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ ae63-axvV)2017/11/20(月) 05:20:56.57ID:KMmGluQw0 ネット三昧 0394卵の名無しさん (ﾌﾞｰｲﾓ MMcd-axvV)2017/11/20(月) 07:09:27.28ID:Peelxpb/M It is a very tenable theory that Doteihen is tantamount to Uraguchi. 0395卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a1ab-RjUU)2017/11/20(月) 08:04:07.10ID:2KKSkJiP0 I need to make the inverse culmative density function in order to calculate 95% highest density interval.
I was a walk in the park.
layout(matrix(1:4,ncol=2)) N=24;z=7;a=0.01;b=0.01 pdf<- function(x)dbeta(x,a,b)*x^z*(1-x)^(N-z) curve(pdf) AUC=integrate(pdf,0,1)$value cdf <- function(x) integrate(pdf,0,x)$value/AUC nxx=1001 xx=seq(0,1,length=1001) xx=xx[-nxx] xx=xx[-1] yy=sapply(xx,cdf) plot(xx,yy,type='l') ; abline(h=0.5,lty=3) range(yy) plot(yy,xx,type='l') ; abline(v=0.5,lty=3) ICDF <- function(x) uniroot(function(y) cdf(y)-x,c(3e-16,1))$root plot(xx,sapply(xx,ICDF),type='l',lwd=2) HDInterval::hdi(ICDF) 0396卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a1ab-RjUU)2017/11/20(月) 08:29:04.18ID:2KKSkJiP0 I've made it to a function which convert pdf to inverse cdf.
d2q <- function(pdf){ AUC=integrate(pdf,0,1)$value # set to be 1 cdf <- function(x) integrate(pdf,0,x)$value/AUC nxx=1001 xx=seq(0,1,length=1001) xx=xx[-nxx] xx=xx[-1] yy=sapply(xx,cdf) ICDF <- function(x) uniroot(function(y) cdf(y)-x,c(3e-16,1))$root plot(xx,sapply(xx,ICDF),type='l',lwd=2) return(ICDF) } 0397卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a1ab-RjUU)2017/11/20(月) 08:51:31.37ID:2KKSkJiP0 The core portion of the function is
uniroot, Newton-Raphson's method can really do the trick.
Now that we can make a inverse function numerically,
we do not have to run MCMC to calculate 95% HDI, which is said to fluctuate about 5%.
Although I cannot make the inverse function analytically, numeric solution is of practical use. 0398卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a1ab-RjUU)2017/11/20(月) 08:52:37.83ID:2KKSkJiP0>>393
Actually not.
I am filled with the spirit to learn modern statistics. 0399卵の名無しさん (ｻｻｸｯﾃﾛﾚ Spd1-iqUY)2017/11/20(月) 08:56:49.63ID:0Gab1N/Yp 高卒で最低3年以上浪人して、 競争率1倍少しの長崎の底辺大学やっと入れて、 その医大でも留年して、12年通って、 国試浪人20年以上の医学士が、 現役医科歯科合格国試一発合格、と偽り、 医科歯科封筒画像を貼り卒業の証拠とぬかし、 私立は底辺、私立は裏口と24時間365日罵るほどのコンプレックス 医業は穢業と論じ、医局を離れ内視鏡や当直バイトで稼ぐ優秀な医師と自己設定 自分と縁の無い専門医話、博士話に激怒する 翻訳サイトが作った駄英長文を貼る それもてめーの作品と称し貼る 拾いトーケー式をてめーの作品と称し貼る ちなみに、家庭教師バイトは半端ないクレームにて派遣会社破門 エロビデオ屋さんでバイト タダで鑑賞し、AV女優波田野由衣にときめく オナニは週8 今は実家で文京区白山に住み着くニート 給与明細を貼り、俺の収入だとぬかすが、何故か大半が隠され、どこの誰のものか不明 当直バイト明けはステーキハウスでワインを嗜む(と自己設定)
まとめると 浪人3年以上w 留年6回以上w 長崎w 実家は文京区白山w 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) w 平成9年卒w 国試浪人20年以上w 身分は医学士w オナニ週8！ ステーキハウスw 0400卵の名無しさん (ﾌﾞｰｲﾓ MMcd-axvV)2017/11/20(月) 08:59:47.16ID:Peelxpb/M DoTeihen/Uraguchi is filled with the whole bunch of idiocy!!!! 0401卵の名無しさん (ﾌﾞｰｲﾓ MMcd-axvV)2017/11/20(月) 12:11:34.40ID:ci4Kks2jM I could not locate any package that works with the latest version of R that enables me to calculate inverse cumulative density value of beta-binomial distribution.
It is a fun to work on do-it-yourself task. Simulating coin flips is boriing, but we can enjoy appreciating DoTeihen==Uraguchi theory. 0402卵の名無しさん (ﾌﾞｰｲﾓ MMcd-axvV)2017/11/20(月) 12:41:07.15ID:ci4Kks2jM I am at the steak house after the part-time job of endoscopy.
I am well-acquainted with the manager of the steak house, he keeps me a seat on Mondays without individual reservation.
Since I have only Tablet PC, it is impossible to draw graphs with R. Therefore it is a good time to enjoy lunch and writing messages to depreciate the DoTeihen/Uraguchi moron. 0403卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a9d5-RjUU)2017/11/20(月) 15:43:15.38ID:xJug4kDO0 HDI calculated from numerically derived inverse culmulative density function approximates the value derived from simulation.
まとめると 浪人3年以上w 留年6回以上w 長崎w 実家は文京区白山w 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) w 平成9年卒w 国試浪人20年以上w 身分は医学士w オナニ週8！ ステーキハウスw 0405卵の名無しさん (ﾌﾞｰｲﾓ MMcd-axvV)2017/11/20(月) 16:36:03.46ID:WFvjIs57M Highest Density Interval -- This is the key to interpret the posterior distribution of parameters.
Uraguchi -- This is the key to determine any DoTeihen graduate as retard!!!! 0406卵の名無しさん (ﾌﾞｰｲﾓ MMcd-axvV)2017/11/20(月) 16:38:34.64ID:WFvjIs57M Last but not least,
Let's review the three laws of Do-Teihen which exist for our security.
Three laws of Do-Teihen Medical School, currently called Gachi'Ura by its graduates.
1: It is not bottom medical school but its enrollee that is despicable, which deserves to be called a bona fide moron beyond redemption.
2: The graduates of Do-Teihen are so ashamed that none of them dare to mention their own alma mater they have gone through.
3: The Do-Teihen graduates are so ashamed of having bought their way into the privately-founded exclusively bottom-leveled medical school namely unfair martrculation called Uraguchi that they tend to call a genuine doctor a charlatan who elucidates their imbecility.
If we get a pdf(probability density function) or pmf(probability mass function), we can numerically figure out its inverse culmulative probability funtion. Using the hdi function of HDInterval package, we can calculate its highest density interval, which corresponds most plausible interval.
まとめると 浪人3年以上w 留年6回以上w 長崎w 実家は文京区白山w 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) w 平成9年卒w 国試浪人20年以上w 身分は医学士w オナニ週8！ ステーキハウスw 0410卵の名無しさん (ﾌﾞｰｲﾓ MMe5-axvV)2017/11/21(火) 09:08:35.72ID:UyJ4tfHXM Whether the goal is showing that a suspected value is or isn’t credible, or achieving a desired degree of precision, random variation is the researcher’s bane. Noise is the nemesis.
DoTeihen is the bane, and Uraguchi us the Nemesis. 0411卵の名無しさん (ﾜｲｴﾃﾞｨ MMca-2gqk)2017/11/21(火) 13:19:19.04ID:35qFFxIbM 621ラジオネーム名無しさん2017/11/21(火) 11:41:51.33ID:hJ7f1fJ0 0013 週2回風俗小屋が楽しみの●本英二っす 2017/11/19 03:32:13
↑この書き込み、色んなとこに書いてあるけど、このSEX依存症の「発達障害」の「うつ病」女は誰ですか？ 0414卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a9d5-axvV)2017/11/21(火) 19:08:25.25ID:0hykMpa70 I' ve made a rule that I refrain from colonoscopy of the aged 90+ years old. I heard today such a patient vomitted after taking cathertics without defecation, and colonoscopy has been cancelled. I' ve got convinced of my own rule.
I believe those who have no competency to be admitted to domestic national medical school should refrain from becoming a doctor. Uraguchi gives rise to all evils of DoTeihen graduates.
I have no offence to DoTeihen medical school itself.
Let' s declare loudly!!!
It is not bottom medical school but its enrollee that is despicable, which deserves to be called a bona fide moron beyond redemption. 0415卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a9d5-axvV)2017/11/21(火) 19:09:34.28ID:0hykMpa70 Last but not least,
Let's review the three laws of Do-Teihen which exist for our security.
Three laws of Do-Teihen Medical School, currently called Gachi'Ura by its graduates.
1: It is not bottom medical school but its enrollee that is despicable, which deserves to be called a bona fide moron beyond redemption.
2: The graduates of Do-Teihen are so ashamed that none of them dare to mention their own alma mater they have gone through.
3: The Do-Teihen graduates are so ashamed of having bought their way into the privately-founded exclusively bottom-leveled medical school namely unfair martrculation called Uraguchi that they tend to call a genuine doctor a charlatan who elucidates their imbecility.
まとめると 浪人3年以上w 留年6回以上w 長崎w 実家は文京区白山w 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) w 平成9年卒w 国試浪人20年以上w 身分は医学士w オナニ週8！ ステーキハウスw 0417卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a9d5-/jLu)2017/11/22(水) 10:09:35.41ID:WHgLvp/30 To generate simulated data for power computation, we need to generate random values of ω and κ (and subsequently θ s ) that are representative of the hypothesis. One way to do that is to explicitly hypothesize the top-level constants that we think capture our knowledge about the true state of the world.
まとめると 浪人3年以上w 留年6回以上w 長崎w 実家は文京区白山w 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) w 平成9年卒w 国試浪人20年以上w 身分は医学士w オナニ週8！ ステーキハウスw 0420卵の名無しさん (ﾜｯﾁｮｲ a9d5-axvV)2017/11/22(水) 16:40:07.43ID:7P46m4gN0 Bayesian analyisis is explained as a method to reallocare the credibility.
Let's review the three laws of Do-Teihen which exist for our security.
Three laws of Do-Teihen Medical School, currently called Gachi'Ura by its graduates.
1: It is not bottom medical school but its enrollee that is despicable, which deserves to be called a bona fide moron beyond redemption.
2: The graduates of Do-Teihen are so ashamed that none of them dare to mention their own alma mater they have gone through.
3: The Do-Teihen graduates are so ashamed of having bought their way into the privately-founded exclusively bottom-leveled medical school namely unfair martrculation called Uraguchi that they tend to call a genuine doctor a charlatan who elucidates their imbecility.
As for DoTeihen, no data contradicts the prior DoTeihen==Uraguchi. No need for Bayesian analysis. LOL LOL LOL 0421卵の名無しさん (ｻｻｸｯﾃﾛﾚ Spd1-iqUY)2017/11/22(水) 17:04:09.13ID:EK/binh5p 中卒で浪人して、高校でも留年して、 高卒で最低3年以上浪人して、 競争率1倍少しの長崎の底辺大学やっと入れて、 その医大でも留年して、12年通って、 国試浪人20年以上の医学士が、 現役医科歯科合格国試一発合格、と偽り、 医科歯科封筒画像を貼り卒業の証拠とぬかし、 私立は底辺、私立は裏口と24時間365日罵るほどのコンプレックス 医業は穢業と論じ、医局を離れ内視鏡や当直バイトで稼ぐ優秀な医師と自己設定 自分と縁の無い専門医話、博士話に激怒する 翻訳サイトが作った駄英長文を貼る それもてめーの作品と称し貼る 拾いトーケー式をてめーの作品と称し貼る ちなみに、家庭教師バイトは半端ないクレームにて派遣会社破門 エロビデオ屋さんでバイト タダで鑑賞し、AV女優波田野由衣にときめく オナニは週8 今は実家で文京区白山に住み着くニート 給与明細を貼り、俺の収入だとぬかすが、何故か大半が隠され、どこの誰のものか不明 当直バイト明けはステーキハウスでワインを嗜む(と自己設定)
