0001卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 93d5-OFZS)2017/11/09(木) 06:34:25.36ID:kajSMCe00>>375 Go for it, and show your imbecility.
First and foremost, try to contradict my sarcasm.
Declaration of Do-Teihen, LOL
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all "uraguchi" are created retards, That they are endowed by their creator with certain unalienable traits, that among these are sloth, mythomania, and the pursuit of imbecility.
That to rectify these traits, Do-Teihen (exclusively bottom-leveled medical school,also known as Gachi'Ura) are instituted for retards, deriving their just powers from what has been referred as the arbitrary donation of the parents of the rectified, That whenever any form of the retards becomes destructive of rectification, it is the right of the Do-Teiken to suspend or expel them, and to impose additional tuition laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect the profit of Do-Teihen.
Prudence, indeed, will dictate that "uraguchi" long established cannot be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience has shown, that Gachi'Ura are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms from which they can pursue profit.
But when a long train of misbehavior and misconduct , showing invariably the same Imbecility evinces a design to reveal themselves as absolute Bona Fide Moron , it is their right, it is their duty, to expel such "uraguchi", and to provide new guards for their future security.
There will be no English response from bona fide Gachi'Ura morons.
Last but not least, it is not the bottom medical school but its enrollee that is despicable, which deserves to be called a bona fide moron beyond redemption.
0152卵の名無しさん (ササクッテロラ Sp33-WRnI)2017/11/12(日) 09:08:41.79ID:J5HdD4onp これは 高卒で最低3年以上浪人して、 競争率1倍少しの底辺大学やっと入れて、 その医大でも留年して、12年通って、 国試浪人20年以上の医学士が、 現役医科歯科合格国試一発合格、と身分を偽り、 私立は底辺、私立は裏口と24時間365日罵るほどのコンプレックス ちなみに、家庭教師バイトは半端ないクレームにて派遣会社破門 エロビデオ屋さんでバイト 現在も医師もどき中 0153卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-ySnM)2017/11/12(日) 09:17:54.38ID:OKdyWAPj0 No English response to statistical discussion from Do-Teihen graduates indeed betrays their inability. Intellectually too retarded to understand stats and English, and more they have no ability to reply in English.
It can be ascribed to the problem of comparison of passing rate between Do-Teihen and Uraguchi; Do-Teihen : 0 / 5 vs Uraguchi : 1 / 20 Simple comparison of the crude rate, 0% and 5% will suggest that Do-Teihen is more stupid than Uraguchi. Polular stastistical methods of frequentist are chis-quared test or Fisher's test. Both tests yield the p-value of 1, which will lead to the conclusion that Do-Teihen are equally stupid as Uraguchi.
It seems to be a superficial idea to conclude on a single digit, crude rate or p-value.
This is the summary of the distribution of the passing rate difference between Do-Teihen and Uraguchi. > print(smry[3,],digits=2) Mean Median Mode ESS HDImass HDIlow 0.0514 0.0287 -0.0087 9673.1000 0.9500 -0.1993 HDIhigh CompVal PcntGtCompVal ROPElow ROPEhigh PcntLtROPE 0.3421 0.0000 59.8300 -0.0250 0.0250 30.1900 PcntInROPE PcntGtROPE 18.5900 51.2200
I think it is a good description of the comparison which quantifies what those data suggest. 0154卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-ySnM)2017/11/12(日) 09:20:51.09ID:OKdyWAPj0>>152 >>149 >>141
It is very stupid of Do-Teihen/Uraguchi to think a bachelor can make this much money.
The only way for DoTeihen to negate being identified as Uraguchi is
to show the competency in basic science or linguistics.
Unfortunately, Do-Teihen/Uraguchi's are intellectually too retarded to reply in English. 0155卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-ySnM)2017/11/12(日) 09:53:27.89ID:OKdyWAPj0 Aside from Do-Teihen bona fide morons, let's proceed to Golgo's comparison. Golgo14 vs Golgo15 http://i.imgur.com/8WXQ5Gs.png Golgo1 hits 10 targets out of 10 shoots,while Golgo15 hits 1 target out of 1 shoot. Which Golgo has superior skill in shooting? Quantify the difference.
I encountered error while calculating with Stan.Vector parameter of G15[i] gave me an error message when i equals one. and also "for ( i in 1:N)" won't work when N =1. But Stan's warning message is very pertinent unlike Win-BUG sampler whose warning messages really stink as DoTeihen/Uraguchi I could go over my script and revised it. Finally, I made it. I set the ROPE ( Range of Practical Equivalence) to [-0.01,0.01] mean se_mean sd 2.5% 25% 50% 75% 97.5% n_eff Rhat p14 0.919 0.001 0.076 0.718 0.884 0.941 0.975 0.997 3425 1.000 p15 0.667 0.005 0.238 0.152 0.492 0.707 0.870 0.990 2045 1.000 Diff 0.252 0.005 0.252 -0.145 0.052 0.215 0.431 0.792 2289 1.000 GtCompVal 0.839 0.008 0.367 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1890 1.001 LtROPE 0.141 0.008 0.348 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000 1941 1.001 InROPE 0.038 0.003 0.190 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000 3292 1.000 GtROPE 0.821 0.009 0.383 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1943 1.001 http://i.imgur.com/zFUyNn7.png0156卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-ySnM)2017/11/12(日) 09:54:06.53ID:OKdyWAPj0 No problem with JAGS with only one shoot.
> print(smry[3,],digits=2) # corresponds to Diff in the Stan result. Mean Median Mode ESS HDImass 0.25 0.21 0.06 9618.10 0.95 HDIlow HDIhigh CompVal PcntGtCompVal ROPElow -0.15 0.77 0.00 84.59 -0.01 ROPEhigh PcntLtROPE PcntInROPE PcntGtROPE 0.01 13.78 3.31 82.91
Fun with stats, heck with Do-Teihen/Uraguchi! 0157卵の名無しさん (ササクッテロリ Sp33-WRnI)2017/11/12(日) 09:54:25.78ID:3WSWxg6Cp これは 高卒で最低3年以上浪人して、 競争率1倍少しの底辺大学やっと入れて、 その医大でも留年して、12年通って、 国試浪人20年以上の医学士が、 現役医科歯科合格国試一発合格、と偽り、 私立は底辺、私立は裏口と24時間365日罵るほどのコンプレックス ちなみに、家庭教師バイトは半端ないクレームにて派遣会社破門 エロビデオ屋さんでバイト 0158卵の名無しさん (ブーイモ MM0f-15/i)2017/11/12(日) 10:04:39.16ID:/ivi1Y/fM>>155 Golgo1 hits 10 targets out of 10 shoots,while Golgo15 hits 1 target out of 1 shoot.
should be
Golgo14 hits 10 targets out of 10 shoots,while Golgo15 hits 1 target out of 1 shoot. 0159卵の名無しさん (ブーイモ MM0f-15/i)2017/11/12(日) 10:10:11.44ID:/ivi1Y/fM Two different sampling softwares, Stan and JAGS yield the same posterior distribution. Just like Do-Teihen and Uraguchi yield the same result. Bona fide morons! LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL 0160卵の名無しさん (ササクッテロレ Sp33-WRnI)2017/11/12(日) 11:07:09.19ID:UQ2UHRThp これは 高卒で最低3年以上浪人して、 競争率1倍少しの底辺大学やっと入れて、 その医大でも留年して、12年通って、 国試浪人20年以上の医学士が、 現役医科歯科合格国試一発合格、と偽り、 私立は底辺、私立は裏口と24時間365日罵るほどのコンプレックス ちなみに、家庭教師バイトは半端ないクレームにて派遣会社破門 エロビデオ屋さんでバイト 0161卵の名無しさん (ササクッテロラ Sp33-XcfE)2017/11/12(日) 12:01:17.27ID:EVlhzKYHp 浪人3年以上、昭和61年入学平成9年卒。国試浪人20年。 0162卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-15/i)2017/11/12(日) 12:34:20.41ID:OKdyWAPj0>>152 >>149 >>141
It is very stupid of Do-Teihen/Uraguchi to think a bachelor can make this much money.
The only way for DoTeihen to negate being identified as Uraguchi is
to show the competency in basic science or linguistics.
Unfortunately, Do-Teihen/Uraguchi's are intellectually too retarded to reply in English.
Or rather they stick to prove their imbecility by posting the same message about someone else . 0163卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-15/i)2017/11/12(日) 13:39:43.83ID:OKdyWAPj0>>162 >>152 >>149 >>141
It is very stupid of Do-Teihen/Uraguchi to think a bachelor can make this much money.
The only way for DoTeihen to negate being identified as Uraguchi is
to show the competency in basic science or linguistics.
Unfortunately, Do-Teihen/Uraguchi's are intellectually too retarded to reply in English.
Or rather they stick to proving their imbecility by posting the same message about someone else . 0164卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-ySnM)2017/11/12(日) 22:15:47.21ID:OKdyWAPj0>>156 The final comparison of Golgo13 with Golgo15
Golgo13 hits 100 targets out of 100 shoots, while Golgo15 hits 1 target out of 1 shoot.
Which Golgo has superior skill in shooting? Quantify the difference.
Since the difference is obvious, it might seem pointless to compare Golgo13 with Golgo15.
But it is not so easy to quantify the difference.
Both hit rate is 100%, and conventional method of chi-squared test or Fisher's test yields no useful information.
Let's deal with Bayesian analysis.
I have learned the sampling process without data shows the prior distribution.
This graph shows prior distributions of each Golgo's hit rate and rate difference.
The difference less than 1% is regarded as equivalent.
And we can tell 95% confidence interval of the difference is [-0.015,0.775]。
We need no p-value to clarify the case, neither do we need Do-Teihen/Ugaruchi. 0165卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-ySnM)2017/11/12(日) 22:16:24.88ID:OKdyWAPj0http://i.imgur.com/7x4Bsrn.png0166卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-ySnM)2017/11/12(日) 22:20:02.03ID:OKdyWAPj0 Either hit rate is 100%, 0167卵の名無しさん (ササクッテロラ Sp33-XcfE)2017/11/12(日) 22:45:26.52ID:EVlhzKYHp 尿って英語でなんちゅうの? 0168卵の名無しさん (ササクッテロラ Sp33-XcfE)2017/11/12(日) 22:52:05.29ID:EVlhzKYHp 文京区白山 0169卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-ySnM)2017/11/12(日) 22:53:09.19ID:OKdyWAPj0 Expected values of hit rate of Golgo13 and Golgo15 are analytically calculated as 101/102 and 2/3, respectively. The MCMC yielded the exact value. Althogh they are called expected values, they will never be expected from DoTeihen/Ugaruchi graduates. Due to their imbecility they will never figure them out. They are expected and deserve to be called bona fide morons.
Three laws of Do-Teihen Medical School, currently called Gachi'Ura by its graduates.
1: It is not bottom medical school but its enrollee that is despicable, which deserves to be called a bona fide moron beyond redemption. 2: The graduates of Do-Teihen are so ashamed that none of them dare to mention their own alma mater they have gone through. 3: The Do-Teihen graduates are so ashamed of having bought their way into the privately-founded exclusively bottom-leveled medical school that they tend to call a genuine doctor a charlatan who elucidates their imbecility.
Glossary for better understanding bona fide : neither specious nor counterfeit : genuine despicable : very bad or unpleasant : deserving to be despised matriculation : the formal process of entering a university, or of becoming eligible to enter by fulfilling certain academic requirements such as a matriculation examination. alma mater : a school, college, or university which one has attended or from which one has graduated charlatan : someone who professes knowledge or expertise, esp in medicine, that he or she does not have; quack 0170卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-ySnM)2017/11/12(日) 22:57:27.77ID:OKdyWAPj0>>164
The first graph reminds me that the addition or subtraction of uniform distribution makes normal distribution.
The addition of DoTeihen and Uraguchi makes bona fide morons.
A typical case is reported by their colleague.
http://imagizer.imageshack.com/img923/7955/w1bWeN.jpg0171卵の名無しさん (ササクッテロラ Sp33-XcfE)2017/11/12(日) 22:59:52.45ID:EVlhzKYHp 某掲示板に氏名書いちゃった!ごめん! 0172卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-ySnM)2017/11/12(日) 23:03:38.89ID:OKdyWAPj0>>170 It says there had been several such students not a single exceptional case.
It is said that no less than fifteen freshmen flunk at DoTeihen medical school.
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all "uraguchi" are created retards, That they are endowed by their creator with certain unalienable traits, that among these are sloth, mythomania, and the pursuit of imbecility. 0175卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-ySnM)2017/11/12(日) 23:09:33.67ID:OKdyWAPj0>>173 Had you written in English, you might have been regarded as knowledgeable enough to express your opinion in English even though you are a Gachi`Ura graduate. 0176卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-15/i)2017/11/12(日) 23:35:33.90ID:OKdyWAPj0 Bayesian inference is reallocation of credibility over possibilities.
http://i.imgur.com/bQgD8xn.png0177卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-15/i)2017/11/12(日) 23:38:46.96ID:OKdyWAPj0>>176 It seems impossible to relocate the disgrace of DoTeihen/Uraguchi. 0178卵の名無しさん (ササクッテロラ Sp33-XcfE)2017/11/13(月) 00:00:20.84ID:xJwK/oWRp すごい反響だなぁ! 0179卵の名無しさん (ササクッテロル Sp33-WRnI)2017/11/13(月) 03:42:52.47ID:LJAhOsYyp じいさん J1昇格決めたじゃないか じいさんも医学士からの昇格目指すべきだろう 0180卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-15/i)2017/11/13(月) 05:55:22.81ID:TXtU2xGp0>>177 Do-Teihen and Uraguchi are interchangeable. But what is Gachi' Ura for? Their existence is testified by Do-Teihen. 0181卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-15/i)2017/11/13(月) 05:56:07.11ID:TXtU2xGp0>>180 This is it. http://imagizer.imageshack.com/img923/7955/w1bWeN.jpg0182卵の名無しさん (ササクッテロル Sp33-WRnI)2017/11/13(月) 06:59:48.90ID:Mnw0p94dp 俺は医師真似医学士じいさんには縁のない 専門医として、さらに勉強するため、学会に行く時電車に乗ってたらエロ漫画雑誌が座席の上に放置されてた。 雑誌の表紙を下にして放置されてたんだけど、その裏表紙に 満面笑みで1人の医師が腕組みして 仁王立ちしてる写真が デカデカと載ってた。
聞いたこともないけれど○○クリニックの宣伝みたいだった。
「医学博士、○○です。 チ○ポの皮切り数は私が日本一です。」みたいな文言とともに。。。。。
iPhoneでその医師の卒業大学を調べてみたら、 長崎だったw
あれ?長崎? 0183卵の名無しさん (ササクッテロラ Sp33-XcfE)2017/11/13(月) 07:21:28.12ID:xJwK/oWRp V・ファーレン長崎j1昇格おめでとうございます。 0184卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-ySnM)2017/11/13(月) 08:49:40.76ID:TXtU2xGp0 It is very stupid of Do-Teihen/Uraguchi to think a bachelor can make this much money.
The only way for DoTeihen to negate being identified as Uraguchi is
to show the competency in basic science or linguistics.
Unfortunately, Do-Teihen/Uraguchi's are intellectually too retarded to reply in English.
Or rather they stick to proving their imbecility by posting the same message about someone else . 0185卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fab-ySnM)2017/11/13(月) 08:51:32.03ID:TXtU2xGp0 It is tough to build a graph for bimodal distribution.
ヤリマン女は夫の母親に子供をあずけて、他の男とSEXしまくり。SEXに時間をかけるから、料理や家事がろくにできない、うちの馬鹿嫁w 息子も医者だが息子が可哀相だw 0189卵の名無しさん (ブーイモ MM0f-15/i)2017/11/13(月) 13:02:03.45ID:3No9LBMWM>>186 it is very DoTeihen retard of you . Why don' t you mention this? I have posted this lasy year. http://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/6342/yo0HCK.jpg0190卵の名無しさん (ワイエディ MM7f-JQ3M)2017/11/13(月) 13:09:02.04ID:o9bFC0r0M 0013 父親の権力であっぱれな私 2017/10/11 02:32:13
まとめると 浪人3年以上、 長崎。 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) 平成9年卒。 国試浪人20年。 身分は医学士。 オナニ週8。 0193卵の名無しさん (ブーイモ MM0f-15/i)2017/11/13(月) 13:33:24.95ID:3No9LBMWM When one encouters any data that contradicts his conclusion, he rethinks. DoTihen graduates will never take this scientific approach, because the are Uraguchi enrollee.
It is very DoTeihen of you . Why don' t you mention this? I have posted this lasy year. http://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/6342/yo0HCK.jpg0194卵の名無しさん (ブーイモ MM0f-15/i)2017/11/13(月) 13:47:20.22ID:3No9LBMWM>>185 I feel discomfort when I cannot reproduce the graph or the table in the book I am reading with the software at hand. I managed to make it, http://egg.2ch.net/test/read.cgi/hosp/1493809494/244-2450195卵の名無しさん (ササクッテロラ Sp33-WRnI)2017/11/13(月) 13:57:00.31ID:DfrCy4Kqp くやしくて 2連投 自称医科歯科医師真似じいさん
まとめると 浪人3年以上、 長崎。 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) 平成9年卒。 国試浪人20年。 身分は医学士。 オナニ週8。 0196卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fd5-15/i)2017/11/13(月) 14:13:30.16ID:JnL2ZVyT0>>195 When one encouters any data that contradicts his conclusion, he rethinks. DoTihen graduates will never take this scientific approach, because the are Uraguchi enrollee.
It is very DoTeihen of you . Why don' t you mention this? I have posted this lasy year. http://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/6342/yo0HCK.jpg0197卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fd5-15/i)2017/11/13(月) 14:15:18.07ID:JnL2ZVyT0>>195 Posting of >194 has nothing to do with DoTeihen, he seems to be completely iliterate to understand English. 0198卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5f87-XcfE)2017/11/13(月) 15:25:44.68ID:3c6rRSXy0 すまん!また別の掲示板に氏名を書いちまった!反響すごい! 0199卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5f87-XcfE)2017/11/13(月) 15:33:15.35ID:3c6rRSXy0 国試不合格程度の学力では、やはりバカにされるのが世間というものです。 0200卵の名無しさん (ワイエディ MM7f-JQ3M)2017/11/13(月) 15:33:25.63ID:g/KjPJINM 荒らしているのは、男が2時間忘れ物取りに帰っただけで「風俗へ行った?」と聞いてるお前のこと。 何、アラフォー女のせいにしてるんだ?暇人ブスw
まとめると 浪人3年以上、 長崎。 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) 平成9年卒。 国試浪人20年。 身分は医学士。 オナニ週8。 0213卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fd5-OFZS)2017/11/13(月) 21:49:43.29ID:JnL2ZVyT0>>212 >>195 When one encouters any data that contradicts his conclusion, he rethinks. DoTihen graduates will never take this scientific approach, because the are Uraguchi enrollee.
It is very DoTeihen of you . Why don' t you mention this? I have posted this lasy year. http://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/6342/yo0HCK.jpg0214卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fd5-OFZS)2017/11/13(月) 21:50:52.18ID:JnL2ZVyT0>>195 When one encouters any data that contradicts his conclusion, he rethinks. DoTeihen graduates will never take this scientific approach, because the are Uraguchi retards.
It is very DoTeihen of you . Why don' t you mention this? I have posted this lasy year. http://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/6342/yo0HCK.jpg0215卵の名無しさん (ササクッテロラ Sp33-WRnI)2017/11/13(月) 22:20:23.94ID:NvSJ5upOp てか、一晩中、また翻訳サイトのくだらねえ怪英文貼ってんかよ? 医学士の自称医科歯科医師真似じいさん よー そんなヒマなお医者さんおるかよー あ、あんたは違うね、悪い
最低でも3浪して 1倍少しの 長崎ごときの低レベルど底辺入れた分際で しかもそこで多留w リミット12年留年 さらに国試浪人20浪、いや、それ以上w わらかすよなw 0216卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fd5-OFZS)2017/11/13(月) 22:26:34.38ID:JnL2ZVyT0>>215 >>173 Had you written in English, you might have been regarded as knowledgeable enough to express your opinion in English even though you are a Gachi`Ura graduate. 0217卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5fd5-OFZS)2017/11/13(月) 22:32:18.58ID:JnL2ZVyT0 It is very stupid of Do-Teihen/Uraguchi to think a bachelor can make this much money.
The only way for DoTeihen to negate being identified as Uraguchi is
to show the competency in basic science or linguistics.
Unfortunately, Do-Teihen/Uraguchi's are intellectually too retarded to reply in English.
Or rather they stick to proving their imbecility by posting the same message about someone else . 0218卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ ffd9-eUVz)2017/11/13(月) 22:46:09.51ID:Ilm+LAEB0 きけんすけべ
まとめると 浪人3年以上、 長崎。 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) 平成9年卒。 国試浪人20年。 身分は医学士。 オナニ週8。 0230卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 7ff7-ySnM)2017/11/14(火) 11:13:43.10ID:/SJKjWLk0 No discussion from DoTeihen/Uraguchi about this Bayesian Analysis yet, No pros and cons from the pros of cons.
I'd be kind enough to scrutinize this discussion. First and formost, let review the discussion.
Check the deviation score(calculated by setting the mean to 50, and standard deviation to 10) of privately-founded medical school at http://2chreport.net/rank_01.htm the lowest score of Do-Teihen(exclusively bottom-leveled medical school) is officially published as 57. Assuming the score distributes normally, the score of 57 corresponds to the upper 24% percentile grade. The probability that any student with such percentile writes this wrong English(Your_thing_English) and is unable to correct is as small as zero.http://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/2411/sYBNlI.jpg If there is one such stupid out of 100 students, he/she must have the lower 1% percentile grade, which corresponds to the deviation score of 26.7. Suppose the probability of Your_thing_English by a student with more than 57 deviation score be 0.001, which is a rather high value, the actual value is considered as much lower.
Let's think of Bayesian formula:
P(Uraguchi|Wrong) = P(Wrong|Uraguchi)*P(Uraguchi)/{P(Wrong|Uraguchi)*P(Uraguchi)+P(Wrong|Square)*P(Square) where Uraguchi: Buying the way to Do-Teihen, unfair matriculation Wrong: Writing Wrong English Square: fair matriculation P(Square) = 1 - P(Uraguchi) and P(Wrong|Uraguchi) = 1 are evident. Basing our discussion on "the principle of insufficient reason" ,http://mathworld.wolfram.com/PrincipleofInsufficientReason.html we can assume P(Uraguchi) = P(Square) = 0.5. Since we set the P(Wrong|Square)=0.001, P(Uraguchi|Wrong) = 0.5/(0.5 + 0.001*0.5) = 0.999
If the official deviation score of 57 be true, the probability of Uraguchi admission of the Do-Teihen graduate in this thread would be calculated as 99.9% 0231卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 7ff7-ySnM)2017/11/14(火) 11:41:10.27ID:/SJKjWLk0 I think it is a flaw to assume P(Uraguchi) = P(Square) = 0.5 even though we base our discussion on "the principle of insufficient reason". The prior probability of 0.5 can be regarded too high by DoTeihen graduates, and too low by national medical school graduates. Bayesian analysis adapts non-informative prior for impartial assumption. Now, I apply uniform distribution as the probability of Uraguchi. That means the credibility of Uraguchi probaility of ,say, 0.1 is equal to the credibility of Uraguchi probability of 0.5.
JAGS can yield the Uraguchi Probability of the DoTeihen who wrote wrong English.
We can call the DoTeihen in this thread Uraguchi with the mean credibility of 99.4%.
Its 95% confidence interval is between 98.1% and 100%. 0233卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 7ff7-ySnM)2017/11/14(火) 11:55:30.67ID:/SJKjWLk0 Its mode value is caluculated as 0.998603 0234卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 7ff7-ySnM)2017/11/14(火) 12:15:27.08ID:/SJKjWLk0 Now we refer the task to Stan, another popular MCMC sampler.
# Stan for Uraguchi modelString=' parameters{ real<lower=0,upper=1> pu; } transformed parameters{ real puw = 1 * pu /(1 * pu + 0.001*(1-pu)); } model{ pu ~ uniform(0,1); } ura.model<-stan_model(model_code = modelString) fit.ura <- rstan::sampling(ura.model,seed=123,iter=10000,warmup=5000) print(fit.ura,digits=4) ms=rstan::extract(fit.ura) round(HDInterval::hdi(ms$puw),4)
post-warmup draws per chain=5000, total post-warmup draws=20000.
They are nearly equall results by JAGS. 0235卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 7ff7-ySnM)2017/11/14(火) 12:30:44.24ID:/SJKjWLk0 If we draw the Uraguchi Probability Distribution with abscissa [0,1], it is overewhelming probability of DoTeihen favoring to Uraguchi. http://i.imgur.com/oNXcnBH.jpg
From the Bayesian analysis above, we can conclude that the DoTeihen in this thread is Uraguchi with 99% credibility.
Conclusion: DoTeihen and Uraguchi are interchangable term in this thread.
Last but not least, it is not the bottom medical school but its enrollee that is despicable, which deserves to be called a bona fide moron beyond redemption. 0236卵の名無しさん (ササクッテロロ Sp33-WRnI)2017/11/14(火) 13:35:27.68ID:NNsNE09pp くやしくて6連投の自称医科歯科ジジー
まとめると 浪人3年以上、 長崎。 昭和61年入学(競争率1倍) 平成9年卒。 国試浪人20年。 身分は医学士。 オナニ週8。 0237卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 7ff7-15/i)2017/11/14(火) 13:54:56.05ID:/SJKjWLk0>>236 Do you agree to the conclusion that
DoTeihen and Uraguchi are interchangable term in this thread?
I am open to the contradiction if discussed mathematically. 0238卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 7ff7-ySnM)2017/11/14(火) 14:07:15.46ID:/SJKjWLk0 The above sequential postings are discussion about Baysian Analysis materalials of which are just Do-Teihen and Uraguchi.
DoTeihen graduates seem to be too retarded to understan stastistical discussion because they are Uraguchi. (Credibility 99%) 0239卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5f87-XcfE)2017/11/14(火) 14:23:28.73ID:AkGlwFyF0 検索できなかったんだね! 0240卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5f87-XcfE)2017/11/14(火) 14:30:01.02ID:AkGlwFyF0 2ちゃんねるの開設者って名前なんだっけ? 0241卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5f87-XcfE)2017/11/14(火) 14:33:29.19ID:AkGlwFyF0 尿って英語でなんちゅうの? 0242卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5f87-XcfE)2017/11/14(火) 14:56:10.98ID:AkGlwFyF0 西瓜🍉美味い! 0243卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5f87-XcfE)2017/11/14(火) 14:57:38.59ID:AkGlwFyF0 生き延びるんだぞ! 0244卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5f87-XcfE)2017/11/14(火) 15:05:20.72ID:AkGlwFyF0 文京区白山! 0245卵の名無しさん (ササクッテロレ Sp33-WRnI)2017/11/14(火) 15:09:36.70ID:Rsju4Q8Dp どていへんとか 翻訳してもらえなかったの? 0246卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5f87-XcfE)2017/11/14(火) 15:15:52.77ID:AkGlwFyF0 胡瓜ってうまい! 0247卵の名無しさん (ブーイモ MM9f-15/i)2017/11/14(火) 15:24:36.47ID:Njwo3HI0M>>245 >>112 Just the Do-Teihen graduates use 'katakana' to denote statistics to show that they do not make much of it, I use Do-Teihen and Uraguchi to clarify its pejorative connotation. 0248卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5f87-XcfE)2017/11/14(火) 15:28:04.66ID:AkGlwFyF0 破瓜型! 0249卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5f87-XcfE)2017/11/14(火) 15:30:09.92ID:AkGlwFyF0 生! 0250卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5f87-XcfE)2017/11/14(火) 15:36:46.63ID:AkGlwFyF0 誠に申し訳ないです。また、別のある掲示板に氏名を書いちまった! 0251卵の名無しさん (ワッチョイ 5f87-XcfE)2017/11/14(火) 15:49:53.16ID:AkGlwFyF0 国試は諦めたと聞いたのだがね。 0252卵の名無しさん (ブーイモ MM9f-15/i)2017/11/14(火) 16:48:50.69ID:Njwo3HI0M>>250 >>171 It is the embodiment of mythomania.
Remenber this historical document :
Declaration of Do-Teihen, LOL
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all "uraguchi" are created retards, That they are endowed by their creator with certain unalienable traits, that among these are sloth, mythomania, and the pursuit of imbecility.