Why it matters: Cruz is not alone in this view. One of Trump's top advisers told me he had urged Trump to stop talking about anything to do with Hunter Biden, Hillary Clinton's emails or "Russiagate" and to instead focus solely on the economy. 0486日出づる処の名無し2020/10/28(水) 10:55:55.30ID:rq1tS+9Dhttps://www.bloomberg.co.jp/news/articles/2020-10-27/QIVHDHT1UM0Z01 米コロナ入院者数、大半の州で過去１週間に急増－医療現場の負担増す Jonathan Levin 2020年10月28日 7:43 JST
ＡＭＤは、同業の米ザイリンクスを株式交換により350億ドル（約３兆6600億円）相当で買収することで合意 -- これは大きい 0491日出づる処の名無し2020/10/28(水) 13:00:09.15ID:rq1tS+9D Paul Krugman@paulkrugman・5時間 The right's determination to see AOC as stupid and/or uneducated, in flat denial of what everyone can see watching her in action ? like her or not, her intelligence and talent is obvious ? is remarkable. But then they did the same thing to Obama. 引用ツイート
Maggie Haberman@maggieNYT ・ 5時間 "Did she go to college? Tell me, I don't know," Trump says in West Salem, reprising his taunt against @AOC from yesterday (she went to Boston University) 0492日出づる処の名無し2020/10/28(水) 13:06:48.73ID:yK7DvGfA 台北地方裁判所は昨日、少なくとも3人の元局職員を対象としたスパイ容疑の継続的な調査の一環として、 台湾の「最初の特別捜査官」と名乗る軍事情報局（MIB）の元大佐を拘留し、隔離するよう命じました。 https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2020/10/22/2003745569
A young Hong Kong activist who was among the first arrested under the new National Security Law was yesterday detained close to the US consulate, police and local media said. 0495日出づる処の名無し2020/10/28(水) 13:19:23.92ID:yK7DvGfA >489 既に、郭文貴など、多数の共産党内部からの暴露が始まってる。 アングルや時系列別の証拠があり、相当数握られてるね。 18禁情報も含んでるので、URLとか貼れないけど。 0496日出づる処の名無し2020/10/28(水) 13:50:11.21ID:rq1tS+9D Financial Times@FinancialTimes・28分 Over the past week, 12 US states’ seven-day average of deaths has reached a record high, the most since early August, the FT found 0497日出づる処の名無し2020/10/28(水) 15:22:34.63ID:3yjM9QLu>>489 それこそが自分の見たいものなんだが。当選後、就任式まで持たない大統領。 アメ人の目が覚めるようにな。 0498日出づる処の名無し2020/10/28(水) 15:22:46.65ID:3yjM9QLu>>489 それこそが自分の見たいものなんだが。当選後、就任式まで持たない大統領。 アメ人の目が覚めるようにな。 0499日出づる処の名無し2020/10/28(水) 16:13:24.80ID:A3cKVPV+ 売電が中国に核のスイッチ押すところ見てみたいって 0500日出づる処の名無し2020/10/28(水) 16:22:16.68ID:IPKDZQXr そもそも売電の頭はどういう状態なんかね アルツ？それとも年食って物忘れが激しいだけ？ 0501日出づる処の名無し2020/10/28(水) 17:28:56.03ID:QmfCqs7h 月給７年ぶり据え置き 公務員、年間給与２．１万円減―人事院 2020年10月28日10時16分 https://www.jiji.com/jc/article?k=2020102800431&;g=pol
Biden leads Trump by 57-40% among likely voters in Wisconsin, a state that's now reported to be third in the nation in per capita COVID-19 cases, with a 53% increase in average daily cases in the past two weeks, a record number of hospitalizations and a 112% jump in deaths. That compares with a closer 52-46% in mid-September. 感染拡大の続く中、バイデンvsトランプは57-40%（LV)、9月中旬には52-46%であったので リードが6%から17%に拡大
In Michigan, it's 51-44%, Biden-Trump, among likely voters, a slight Biden lead in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates. ミシガン州ではバイデンvsトランプは51-44%（LV)で7%のリード 0505日出づる処の名無し2020/10/28(水) 20:41:48.23ID:0LcD4UXv 現政権の退陣や王室改革などを求め、デモが続くタイで、26日夜、 数千人の若者らがバンコクのドイツ大使館までデモ行進した。 デモ隊は、ドイツ大使館に到着すると、ワチラロンコン国王が 1年の大半を過ごすドイツで国事行為を行っているとされる 問題について、確認を求める要望書を大使館に提出。 ・・・デモ隊は、ドイツを巻き込むことで、王室改革の必要性を 国際社会に訴える狙いがあるとみられる。 https://www.fnn.jp/articles/-/100101
バイデンが大統領になった後、中国の言いなりにならなければ、バイデン親子が子供を喰っている場面を撮影したビデオが巷に出回ることも十分にありえるな 05135112020/10/28(水) 22:14:23.12ID:8809Gvfl 9:05 > M B. ://www.gnews.org/438361/ A 68 One of the videos is that Hunter Biden used his 9.5-inch genitals to continuously poke a girl's vagina after taking drugs. This little girl looks only about 10 years old and is a Chinese girl. In the video, the little girl's lower body continued to bleed, and the little girl kept screaming, terribly. These videos will be released to the public after the face and key parts are blurred. You can see the girl's hands and feet, as well as hear the girl's cry. These exposed videos are only the tip of the iceberg of evidence of the Biden family's crimes, but they can give a glimpse of how the CCP used extreme sexual bribery to control Western politicians. Those young children who were mutilated as sex slaves are not isolated cases. Every year, a large number of children disappear in China, and there are countless cases of human trafficking. Children's orphanages throughout China are actually markets for trafficking in children. The scandal of ^ al II
GENEVA (Reuters) - The World Trade Organization’s bid to select a new le ader was plunged into uncertainty on Wednesday after the United States r ejected the Nigerian woman proposed as the global trade watchdog’s next director-general. --
Three WTO ambassadors, the “troika” charged with finding a successor to Brazilian Roberto Azevedo, had decided that the former Nigerian finance minister should be the next chief as she had secured wide cross-regional backing.
●Democrats have 290 electoral votes in the Solid, Likely and Lean categories and would need 0 electoral votes from the Toss Up
●Republicans have 125 electoral votes in the Solid, Likely and Lean categories and would need 123 (100%) electoral votes from the Toss Up column plus 22 votes from the Lean Democrat column.
To win the election, Trump will need to win every state we currently have in the Toss Up column: Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Iowa, Ohio, Maine's 2nd CD, as well as the newest addition, Texas. Even then, Trump would be 22 electoral votes short of 270. He would need to win at least two of the seven states currently sitting in Lean Democrat: Arizona, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada and New Hampshire. Trump carried all but Minnesota, Nevada and New Hampshire in 2016.
At this point, Ohio and Maine's 2nd District are probably the most promising for Trump, followed by Texas and Iowa. If he were to win all of those, he'd be at 188 electoral votes, still 82 votes shy of 270. Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina are pure Toss Ups with Biden ahead by anywhere from 1 to 2 points in those states. 0524日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 06:55:18.71ID:NRzrUO7/ Even if Trump were to win all of those states, he'd then need to move into the Lean Democratic territory where Arizona, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania offer the best opportunities. If you just looked at polling averages, Arizona would be the best opportunity for Trump. Biden has a small ? but steady ? 3 point lead. Even so, given Trump's unpopularity among suburban voters, it's hard to see how he makes up needed ground in Maricopa (Phoenix).
But, while Trump has a narrow path to 270, Biden is looking at several different pathways to 270. Biden can afford to lose states in Toss Up like Georgia, North Carolina or Iowa and still have plenty of different options to get to an electoral college victory. Of course, all three are hosting competitive Senate races that could tip the balance of power in the upper chamber. Notably, Biden is spending the final week of the campaign traveling to Iowa and Georgia. 0525日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 10:29:54.24ID:hpjsO17X バイデン当選後、すぐに棚上げ飾り物になり、「プログレッシブ」なる急進左派が 前面に出て、例の軍曹の政策を実行、「社会主義アメリカ爆誕」という話が あるようだが、どれ位信憑性ある？ ペロシなんかの中道左派は追放されるとか。 バイデン棚上げ、は普通にありそうなんだけどな。 0526日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 10:56:04.33ID:NRzrUO7/https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/we-have-a-lot-of-new-polls-but-theres-little-sign-of-the-presidential-race-tightening/?ex_cid=538twitter OCT. 28, 2020, AT 7:59 PM We Have A Lot Of New Polls But There’s Little Sign Of The Presidential Race Tightening Instead, Biden gains in the Midwest By Nate Silver 今日は多くの世論調査が公表されたが、トランプがバイデンとの差を縮めている気配はない それどころか、バイデンはミッド・ウエストで差を広げている
After a surprisingly sluggish weekend for polling, the floodgates have opened, with a mix of high-quality polls, low-quality polls and pretty much everything in between. And although there are some outliers in both directions, they tell a fairly consistent story, overall: A steady race nationally, perhaps with some gains for Joe Biden in the Midwest.
What should we make of that new Wisconsin poll that has Biden 17 points ahead? Well, it’s an eye-popping lead that has improved Biden’s odds in our forecast there, but it’s not the only good poll Biden has gotten in Wisconsin or in other Midwestern states lately. He’s also gotten a number of strong results in Michigan and even Iowa, where he now has a slightly better chance than Trump of winning the state according to our forecast, although it’s still basically a coin flip. It’s a closer race in Pennsylvania though, as Biden only leads Trump by roughly 5 points in our polling average. Earlier this week, we gamed out what would happen if Biden lost Pennsylvania but won other Midwestern states like Wisconsin. Want to try out your own hypothetical and see what would happen? Well, now you can! We’ve built an interactive forecast that lets you explore the ways each candidate could win. 0528日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 11:17:15.90ID:NRzrUO7/ ＊FTの選挙予測、更新
In Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, where Mr Trump won by razor thin margins in 2016, polls show Mr Biden leading by more than five percentage points. The race is closer in the crucial state of Florida.
Some of the closest races, though, are in states that Mr Trump won in 2016. North Carolina and Georgia have each voted Republican in nine out of the last 10 presidential elections, but appear to be close contests this year. Similarly close races exist in Ohio and Iowa, both states Barack Obama won in 2012 but where Mr Trump beat Hillary Clinton in 2016.
The coronavirus has realigned voters’ concerns and behaviour. For recent developments in voter sentiment, see the monthly FT-Peterson Economic Monitor. 0529日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 11:19:49.58ID:NRzrUO7/https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXMZO65589470Z21C20A0I00000/ NYダウ943ドル安 4日続落、3カ月ぶり安値 2020/10/29 5:07 (2020/10/29 5:47更新)
White House coronavirus advisor Dr. Anthony Fauci said Wednesday that the U.S. is in a “bad position” as coronavirus cases and hospitalizations surge in many parts of the nation.
Fauci said the U.S. never got its Covid-19 cases down to low enough levels after the initial surge in New York and other states earlier in the year.
Fauci’s comments came after the U.S. reported its third consecutive record in average daily Covid-19 cases. Hospitalizations are on the rise as well. 0532日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 11:40:59.19ID:NRzrUO7/ ＊雑誌エコノミストの選挙予測 Last updated October 29th 2020
バイデン予想獲得選挙人数＝356 トランプ予想獲得選挙人数＝182
www. economist.com/ us-election-2020?fsrc=scn/tw/te/bl/ed/theus2020elections 0533日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 11:45:44.11ID:NRzrUO7/ Financial Times@FinancialTimes・5時間 Trump’s chances fade in states where Covid cases are soaring Polls show president losing ground in Midwestern battlegrounds experiencing ‘winter wave’ ft.com 最新の世論調査によれば、ミッドウエストの激戦諸州で新コロナウイルスの感染拡大に 伴って、トランプ再選のチャンスが失われつつある 0534日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 12:28:40.40ID:z6/U9NrW トランプが負けるわけ無いじゃんjk 0535日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 12:44:09.67ID:NRzrUO7/ ロイター@ReutersJapan・1時間 米、1週間で約50万人が新型コロナ感染 中西部中心に拡大（字幕・28日） https://twitter.com/i/status/1321638478443016194 https://twitter.com/5chan_nel (5ch newer account) 0536日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 12:45:54.85ID:NRzrUO7/ ロイター@ReutersJapan・1時間 独、1カ月の緊急ロックダウンへ 飲食店閉鎖・旅行自粛も要請 ドイツのメルケル首相は２８日、再拡大する新型コロナウイルス流行に対応するため、 １１月２日から１カ月間、緊急の部分的なロックダウン（都市封鎖）措置を実施する と発表した。jp.reuters.com 0537日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 12:51:01.95ID:NRzrUO7/https://jp.wsj.com/articles/SB12205873720881534683804587064510462955958 大統領選の浮動票、トランプ氏に流れる気配なし＝WSJ/NBC調査 By Aaron Zitner 2020 年 10 月 29 日 01:56 JST 更新
The New Yorker@NewYorker ・ 14時間 A long time coming. #NewYorkerCartoons https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Elb7ON7XgAAMXvK?format=jpg&;name=small 0547日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 18:18:45.18ID:/VGPHpNO>>525 以前見た米の世論調査では民主党支持者でも「バイデンは四年持たない(痴呆等の症状による。カマラ・ハリスに交代する)」という意見が多数派を占めていた。 来年1月20日に無事バイデン大統領が誕生したとしても長くは持たないだろうね
The Economist@TheEconomist・2時間 America faces a fateful choice. At stake is the nature of its democracy. Joe Biden would enter the White House promising the most precious gift that democracies can bestow: renewal. Our election endorsement https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ElfGPG2W0AA8g7k?format=jpg&;name=small
「エコにミスト誌はバイデン候補を推薦：何故に、バイデンであるべきか」 0554日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 20:52:36.19ID:NRzrUO7/ The Economist@TheEconomist・35分 Joe Biden is not a miracle cure for what ails America. But he would restore steadiness and civility to the White House?and begin the long, difficult task of putting a fractured country back together again 0555日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 20:54:24.31ID:NRzrUO7/ The Economist@TheEconomist・2時間 Joe Biden will not end the bitter animosity that has been mounting for decades in America. But he could begin to lay out a path towards reconciliation. The former vice-president gets our endorsement 0556日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 20:54:34.11ID:evokSmQ2>>539 13兆円真水の金注入するなら何らかの効果はあるかと 昔の定額減税もちゃんと景気の下支えになってたからな ただリーマンショック以上の恐慌下にあるんだから貯蓄に回りやすいかもしれない しかしそもそも経済対策なのか？ 非常事態宣言で国全体が一時的に活動が制限されるからこの金で凌げって意味合いだったと思っていたんだが 0557日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 20:55:14.39ID:o06gcjRL …そして１週間後、このスレには 「この選挙は不当」「共和党の不正が発覚した」 「激戦区のこの州で共和党がとるのは明らかにおかしい」 などの記事がガンガンアップされる 0558日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 21:00:06.48ID:ECulHUnF 森喜朗氏、鈴木大地氏出馬に反対 千葉知事選、擁立困難・・・ https://news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/542ef6e23af619d1bb50a83bc121efa03c4ccea5
The Economist@TheEconomist・4時間 What do Maine, Arizona and North Carolina have in common? Our election model thinks a Senate seat in each state is likely to switch from red to blue メイン、アリゾナ、ノースカロライナで共和党議席が民主党に移ると予想
予想議席数・民主党＝52.3 seats 予想議席数・共和党＝47.7 seats 0560日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 21:03:02.67ID:CtSySLVh>>556 たったの10万円ぽっちじゃ大多数は何も凌げない 国民の多くは既に決まっていた支払いに回すか、この金が無くてもいずれ買ったであろうものにしか充てない つまり経済効果上は実に無意味で、大規模感染症の脅威に当てられた国民のヒステリーを多少宥める程度の効果しか無い 0561日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 21:04:48.60ID:evokSmQ2 一時的に無収入になる人などへのコロナ対策の支援策だったと思うのだが 低所得者のみの配布にすると必要な人にも行き渡らない 苦しくとも自分だけもらうことを恥と考える人たちはかなり多い 0562日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 21:06:30.03ID:NRzrUO7/https://www.vox.com/21538653/poll-biden-trump-texas-university-dallas?scrolla=5eb6d68b7fedc32c19ef33b4 Exclusive: Biden leads Trump by 12 points in a national UT Dallas poll The survey also finds that more stimulus is respondents’ top priority for a new Congress. By Li Zhou and Christina Animashaun Oct 29, 2020, 7:00am EDT テキサス大ダラス校の世論調査で、全米平均でバイデンがトランプを12ポイントのリード 0563日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 21:11:04.95ID:evokSmQ2 麻生が経済対策だと言い出したのは物凄い違和感があった まぁもうそろそろ引退だろうから批判はしないが 0564日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 21:13:04.76ID:CtSySLVh>>561 そんな人らに10万ぽっち与えてもしょうがない
あと、追加の給付金はよとか書いたのは悪手だったんじゃない？ 給付金に味をしめたように見えて厭らしいぜ？ ついでにコロコロID変えるのも褒められたもんじゃない 0581日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 23:18:26.28ID:kzWZN2Vx>>580 言いたいことはわかるが賛同はできん あとIDは意識して変えてるわけじゃないのでどうにもならんのよ、すまんね 0582日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 23:19:08.26ID:nu4i7OhE 図星刺されてて草 とはいえは補填してくれるならして欲しいわな、俺もなー 0583日出づる処の名無し2020/10/29(木) 23:56:10.54ID:o06gcjRL 渡邉哲也 「簡単に言うと、バイデンさんをイメージすると日本の政治家で一番近いのが村山富市さん」 「副大統領候補のカマラ・ハリスが辻元清美さん」 福島香織 「ええ！そんなん誰が投票するんですか？ｗｗ」 0584日出づる処の名無し2020/10/30(金) 02:24:24.56ID:QdTZTVpM Nate Silver@NateSilver538・11分 Highly similar to the Marist poll this AM. Florida's been gyrating between "toss-up" and "lean Biden" and this last round of polling is putting it more in the latter category. フロリダ州の選挙前最終の世論調査：午前中に公表されたMarist世論調査と同様な傾向 の、Monmouth大学の世論調査。フロリダ州は「競合・未定」と「バイデン側に傾斜」の間 で揺れ動いているが、この調査では「バイデン側に傾斜」に向かう傾向を示している
Among all registered voters in Florida, the race for president stands at 50% for Biden and 45% for Trump. Another 1% support Jo Jorgensen (Libertarian), less than 1% back Howie Hawkins (Green), and 2% are undecided. In different likely voter models+, the race stands at 51% for Biden and 45% for Trump in a high turnout scenario and 50% to 46% with lower turnout. Biden’s current lead is nearly identical to the likely voter model results in last month’s Monmouth poll. The last two presidential elections in Florida were decided by a single percentage point.
