https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/01/us/politics/biden-trump-poll-florida-pennsylvania-wisconsin.html
Election at Hand, Biden Leads Trump in Four Key States, Poll Shows
Nov. 1, 2020, 5:00 a.m. ET
By Alexander Burns and Jonathan Martin
SIENA COLLEGE POLL
           2016   現在
アリゾナ     +4 Trump  +6 Biden
フロリダ     +1 Trump  +3 Biden
ペンシルバニア  <1 Trump  +6 Biden
ウイスコンシン  1 Trump  +11 Biden

Joseph R. Biden Jr. holds a clear advantage over President Trump across four of
the most important presidential swing states, a new poll shows, bolstered by the
support of voters who did not participate in the 2016 election and who now appear
to be turning out in large numbers to cast their ballots, mainly for the Democrat.