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https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/bidens-path-270-widens-trumps-path-narrows-texas-moves-toss
Biden’s Path to 270 Widens, Trump’s Path Narrows, as Texas Moves to Toss Up
Amy Walter October 28, 2020
バイデンの大統領選勝利へのパスは拡大し、トランプのそれは縮小、テキサス州が激戦・競合区に
未定・競合以外で、バイデン＝ 290、トランプ＝125

●Democrats have 290 electoral votes in the Solid, Likely and Lean
categories and would need 0 electoral votes from the Toss Up

●Republicans have 125 electoral votes in the Solid, Likely and Lean
categories and would need 123 (100%) electoral votes from the
Toss Up column plus 22 votes from the Lean Democrat column.

To win the election, Trump will need to win every state we currently have in
the Toss Up column: Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Iowa, Ohio, Maine's 2nd CD,
as well as the newest addition, Texas. Even then, Trump would be 22 electoral
votes short of 270. He would need to win at least two of the seven states currently
sitting in Lean Democrat: Arizona, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania,
Arizona, Nevada and New Hampshire. Trump carried all but Minnesota, Nevada and New
Hampshire in 2016.

At this point, Ohio and Maine's 2nd District are probably the most promising for Trump,
followed by Texas and Iowa. If he were to win all of those, he'd be at 188 electoral
votes, still 82 votes shy of 270. Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina are pure Toss
Ups with Biden ahead by anywhere from 1 to 2 points in those states.