Nate Silver@NateSilver538・3時間
FWIW we've updated our polling averages to reflect the corrected version of the
USC poll and it doesn't make much difference.... Biden +7.4 nationally vs +7.3
before. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/

538のモデルhttps://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
バイデン勝利確率＝80%
トランプ勝利確率＝19%