Nate Silver@NateSilver538・40分
Second high-quality Pennsylvania poll tonight to have Biden +9 among likely voters,
which is obviously not good news for Trump.
538の世論調査の信頼性格付けで二番目に高いABCNews/WaPoの最新のペンシルバニア州調査で
バイデンが9％優位

ABC News Politics@ABCPolitics ・ 40分
BREAKING: Joe Biden leads Pres. Trump 54-45% among likely voters in Pennsylvania,
new @ABC News/WaPo poll finds, thanks in large part to a 2-1 lead in the Philadelphia
suburbs.
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/pennsylvania-advantage-biden-big-boost-women-poll/story?id=73290218&;cid=social_twitter_abcnp
In Pennsylvania, advantage Biden with a big boost from women: POLL
ペンシルバニア世論調査：女性層のバイデン支持が増大

Nate Silver@NateSilver538・41分
I guess the silver lining for Trump is that Pennsylvania has been polled quite a bit
lately and there are certainly other polls to suggest that Biden's advantage isn't
as large as 9 points. But still...

...there were questions before as to why Pennsylvania was polling as a fairly tight
race even though Biden was polling well in demographically similar states such as
MI/MN/WI and also even leading in some OH polls recently. Now PA looks more in line
with the rest of those states.

Our Pennsylvania polling average now shows Biden +5.5, which really reduces the split
with Wisconsin (B +6.8) and Michigan (B +6.9) as well as with national polls (B + 7.0).