Census estimates suggest that in 2020, the number of voting-eligible whites without
college degrees could decline 7 percent versus 2016. Meanwhile, the number of voting-
eligible college-educated whites is poised to increase 16 percent and the number of
eligible non-whites is on track to increase 11 percent. In addition, the number of
eligible voters 65 and older is on track to surge by 13 percent as more boomers age
into that category.
Unless Trump can reverse his backslide with college-educated whites and seniors, the
demographic math will heavily favor Biden winning the White House.
国勢調査の統計では高卒以下の白人有権者の比率は2016年に比べて2020年は7％低下し得る。
白人の大卒以上の有権者は16％増加し得る。非白人の大卒以上の有権者は11％増加し得る。