The Quinnipiac University poll ? which was conducted July 9-13 ? shows the former vice president and presumptive Democratic nominee with 52% support among registered voters, with President Trump at 37% support. Biden’s lead is almost double the 8-point advantage he held in Quinnipiac’s previous survey, which was conducted in mid-June. And it tops 14-point leads Biden held over the president in CNN and New York Times/Siena College polls conducted last month. 0572日出づる処の名無し2020/07/18(土) 20:10:02.49ID:aXagx3vIhttps://www.forbes.com/sites/jackbrewster/2020/07/17/democrats-poised-to-expand-house-majority-polling-shows/#459b1ae628f7 Jul 17, 2020,10:49am EDT Democrats Poised To Expand House Majority, Polling Shows Jack Brewster Jack BrewsterForbes Staff 世論調査によれば11月の選挙で民主党は下院の多数派支配を更に広げるもよう
Democrats clawed back the majority in the House in 2018 by knocking off Republicans in key suburban districts and now hold 233 seats. 0573日出づる処の名無し2020/07/18(土) 21:58:19.42ID:/dXSoHM+>>565 どういう形であれ南北統一が成れば闇の部分も含めて在日関係にも手を付けざるを得ないでしょう 0574日出づる処の名無し2020/07/19(日) 05:32:11.47ID:Rqt5rS8z ＞中国 豪雨で３７００万人に被害、習主席「状況は非常に厳しい」 7/13(月) 19:51配信
タイムズ紙は先週、英国の軍事計画担当者が、中国に対抗する国際協力の一環として、空母「クイーン・エリザベス （HMS Queen Elizabeth）」を太平洋地域に配備する計画を立案したと報道していた。 同空母は、初の任務のため来年出港する予定。ルートには、南シナ海（South China Sea）で航行の自由への懸念が生じている 海域も含まれる。 しかし、中国による香港国家安全維持法の施行など、多くの問題をめぐって英中間の緊張が高まっている中、英国が同地域に 空母をより永続的に配備する可能性も浮上している。(c)AFP 0586日出づる処の名無し2020/07/19(日) 19:21:01.09ID:OI912PlN>>584 つまり静観してろと… 0587日出づる処の名無し2020/07/19(日) 21:27:36.70ID:jZ7I5a0khttps://www.axios.com/biden-15-point-lead-trump-washington-post-abc-poll-b6f361b2-674c-471a-99fa-b52d468be33b.html Updated 6 hours ago - Politics & Policy Biden leads Trump by 15 points in new poll as coronavirus cases spike 世論調査：新コロナウイルス感染の拡大する中、バイデンがトランプに15％差の優勢
Former Vice President Joe Biden is the preferred candidate to handle the coronavirus pandemic and he's opened up a 15-point lead over President Trump, an ABC News/ Washington Post poll published early on Sunday finds.
By the numbers: Biden is ahead of Trump 55-40% among registered voters. However, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee's margin reduces to 54-44% among likely voters. バイデンvsトランプは登録済有権者で55-40%、投票意思のある有権者で54-44%
Why it matters: Per the poll news release, "Three and a half months ago the two candidates were virtually even in trust to handle the pandemic, Trump +2 percentage points, 45-43 percent. Today, with COVID-19 cases surging around the nation, Biden leads Trump on the issue by a 20-point margin, 54-34 percent." 3.5ヶ月前にはパンデミック対応のバイデンvsトランプはほぼタイ、今日では同じ問で54-34 と20％の差がある
19 states this week set new highs for coronavirus infections recorded in a single day this week and the U.S. on Saturday reported more than 71,500 new coronavirus cases ? second highest to the record 75,600-plus set last Thursday. 62% of registered voters told a Quinnipiac University poll out last Wednesday that Trump's hurting efforts to slow the spread of COVID-19. Quinnipiac世論調査では62％の有権者はトランプ大統領がCOVID-19拡大防止に有害という 0588日出づる処の名無し2020/07/19(日) 21:56:01.61ID:jZ7I5a0khttps://www.politico.com/news/2020/07/19/biden-trump-polls-matchup-369261 Polls show Biden routing Trump. Here's how to read them. A new survey from ABC News and the Washington Post is the latest high-quality poll to show Biden with a double-digit lead. By STEVEN SHEPARD 07/19/2020 07:00 AM EDT 各種世論調査でバイデンがトランプを凌駕する結果が出ているが、これを如何に 解釈すべきかの解説
President Donald Trump’s bad poll numbers are getting worse. The latest data point: A new ABC News/Washington Post poll released Sunday shows Trump 15 points behind former Vice President Joe Biden among registered voters, 55 percent to 40 percent. トランプ大統領の世論調査結果は悪くなる一方で今は15％のギャップ
Putting Biden’s lead in perspective バイデンのリードを歴史からみてみると Only two challengers who led incumbents at this stage of the campaign ? John Kerry in 2004 and Michael Dukakis in 1988 ? ended up losing, and each held a smaller lead than Biden’s. (Dukakis would even pad his lead before losing it completely, thanks to a convention bump that receded quickly in August). 過去の大統領選のこの時期に現職より挑戦者が優勢であって結果的に敗退したのは2例 あってジョン・ケリーとマイケル・デュカキスだが、両者ともリードの幅がバイデンに 比べて少ない
For a more recent comparison, Biden’s advantage well outstrips the lead Hillary Clinton had at this point in the 2016 race, when she led Trump by 3 points in the RealClearPolitics average. Clinton’s lead would briefly top out at an 8-point lead in early August, and then again crest to 7 points in the immediate aftermath of the “Access Hollywood” video in October. ヒラリーの2016年のトランプに対するリードは3〜8％程度でバイデンの今より少ない 0589日出づる処の名無し2020/07/19(日) 21:57:01.55ID:jZ7I5a0k Biden is also much closer to earning majority support than Clinton at this point before the last presidential election. As of July 19, 2016, Clinton was only at 44 percent in the RealClearPolitics average, well short of Biden's 49 percent ? and that Biden number is before the ABC News/Washington Post poll with him at 54 percent was added to the average. ヒラリー支持は平均で44％、今のバイデンは54％
A “defined” Joe Biden Similarly, 44 percent of voters surveyed by an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll last week said they had a positive opinion of Biden, while 46 percent viewed him negatively. That compares to a 37 percent positive, 38 percent negative rating a month earlier, suggesting that Biden is in fact becoming more defined ? but it isn’t helping Trump.
It’s all about coronavirus 新コロナウイルス対応でトランプの評価がこの数ヶ月で急落（45→38％） In the Quinnipiac poll, only 35 percent of voters said they approve of Trump’s response to the coronavirus, down from 42 percent a month ago. In the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, Trump’s approval on the virus took a similar plunge, going from 43 percent in June to 37 percent in July. Then there’s the new ABC News/Washington Post poll, which shows Trump’s approval on the coronavirus declining from 45 percent among registered voters in late May to 38 percent in the latest poll.
Don’t misread the enthusiasm gap 民主・共和両党の大統領選への熱意 In the Quinnipiac poll, 71 percent of Democratic voters said they are paying “a lot” of attention to the election ? slightly more than the 67 percent of Republicans who said the same. In the NBC/WSJ survey, 80 percent of Democrats rated their level of interest in the election as a “9” or “10” on a 1-10 scale, more than the 74 percent of Republicans who gave the same ratings. 0590日出づる処の名無し2020/07/19(日) 22:18:13.69ID:1xbgu4Qg アメリカのアンケート、絶対に回答者に遊ばれてるｗｗ 0591日出づる処の名無し2020/07/19(日) 22:47:16.46ID:boMtxxX6 自殺した三浦春馬がソウルで日韓友好を勇気ある発言で訴えた 韓国では大絶賛、日本では猛バッシング https://hayabusa9.5ch.net/test/read.cgi/news/1595161339/0592日出づる処の名無し2020/07/19(日) 23:21:07.94ID:jZ7I5a0k 中山 俊宏 NAKAYAMA Toshihiro@tnak0214・1時間 この数字はきつい。トランプ大統領のコロナ対策を評価するが38％、評価しないが60％。 Trump faces rising disapproval and widespread distrust on coronavirus, Post-ABC poll finds As cases rise across the country, poll finds president disconnected from public on key issues. washingtonpost.com 0593日出づる処の名無し2020/07/20(月) 07:59:13.86ID:VEBtuc6u >中国政府が「漁船侵入」阻止要求 >尖閣巡り、地名変更中止も >共同通信社 >2020/7/19 21:01 (JST) > 中国政府が今月、日本政府に対して沖縄県・尖閣諸島の領有権を主張し、周辺海域での日本漁船の操業は >「領海侵入」だとして立ち入らせないよう外交ルートを通じて要求していたことが19日、分かった。 >沖縄県石垣市議会が議決した尖閣の住所地の字名を10月から変更する措置の中止を求めたことも判明。 >日本は即座に拒否した。日中外交筋が明らかにした。 ttps://this.kiji.is/657552919817995361 0594日出づる処の名無し2020/07/20(月) 11:27:03.41ID:Z8QIG4kUhttps://www.nikkansports.com/general/news/202007200000106.html トランプ大統領、新型コロナは「ある時点で消える」 [2020年7月20日8時3分]（共同）
KEY POINTS ●Florida reported 12,523 new cases of the coronavirus on Saturday, marking the fifth consecutive day the hot-spot state reported more than 10,000 cases, according to the state’s health department.
●The state has reported more than 11,865 new infections on average over the past seven days, up 29% from a week ago, according to a CNBC analysis of data compiled by Johns Hopkins University.
●“The residents here are terrified and I’m terrified, for the first time in my career because there’s a lack of leadership,” said Rep. Donna Shalala, D-Fla.
・・・・・ Shalala added that Covid-19 hospitalizations have been steadily rising, especially in her South Florida district. She said some hospitals are overwhelmed and patients should be concerned about receiving quality care in the current environment if they become sick and need to be hospitalized. 0608日出づる処の名無し2020/07/20(月) 21:11:28.53ID:Z8QIG4kU Republican Sen. Marco Rubio said last week that shortages of remdesivir, the only drug currently authorized in the U.S. to treat Covid-19, being reported in Florida’s hospitals are due to a “bad disconnect” with the Trump administration about his state’s needs. The Department of Health and Human Services signed a deal with drugmaker Gilead to secure the available supply of the drug, but amid the recent surge, hospitals have been struggling to meet demand.
“We need to close down in Florida,” Shalala said. “Our economy will not come back until we meet this virus at its head and bring it down.” 0609日出づる処の名無し2020/07/20(月) 21:23:57.80ID:Z8QIG4kUhttps://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/07/trumps-military-tactics-in-portland-will-likely-backfire.html JULY 18, 2020 Why Trump’s Military Tactics in Portland Will Likely Backfire By Barbara McQuade トランプ大統領はオレゴン州ポートランドの抗議行動に対して武力制圧的な対処をして いるのだが、これが逆効果である理由
A showdown in policing philosophies is taking place on the streets of Portland, Oregon, where federal agents from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security are working to suppress unrest following the death of George Floyd. In response to President Donald Trump’s directive to federal agencies to step up their efforts to protect federal properties from protesters, rapid-deployment teams of federal agents wearing camouflage uniforms and tactical gear have expanded their efforts from defending a U.S. courthouse to arresting protesters on the streets.
When I served as U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of Michigan, working with law enforcement agencies to protect public safety, we always considered not only whether we could engage in certain law enforcement activity, but whether we should.
In this instance, can federal agents intervene in enforcing the law on the streets of Portland despite opposition from local leaders? Probably. If the agents were from agencies that target violent crime, such as the FBI or ATF, there would be no issue regarding arrests for assaulting federal officers with rocks or using fireworks as weapons. But the participating agencies are all part of the Department of Homeland Security, including Customs and Border Protection and Federal Protective Services.
FPS has jurisdiction to protect federal property and to make arrests for federal offenses committed there. The other DHS agencies appear to be deployed in support of the FPS mission. Even CBP may arrest individuals who commit crimes on federal property. But reports of federal agents patrolling the streets and picking up protesters who are not committing customs or immigration offenses may reach beyond their jurisdiction. 0610日出づる処の名無し2020/07/20(月) 21:24:29.48ID:Z8QIG4kU In addition, as the New York Times reported Saturday, an internal DHS memo warned on Thursday that the federal agents operating in Portland did not have the specialized training or equipment to deal with mass demonstrations or riot control.
Even if these DHS agents can arrest protesters, an equally important question is should they. As former DHS assistant secretary Juliette Kayyem has noted, at a time when the department charged with protecting homeland security faces unprecedented threats to public health and the presidential election, “their priorities seem exceptionally misplaced.”
But misplaced priorities is not the worst harm here. In addition to occupying resources that could be used for better purposes, sending federal agents to quell protests causes long-term damage to the ability of these agencies to perform their missions.
The first rule of effective law enforcement is to gain the trust of the community you serve. Former FBI Detroit Special Agent in Charge Andy Arena frequently said that law enforcement officers can never be successful if they are perceived as an occupying army. Law enforcement is a social compact between community and police to protect the peace. Policing agencies derive their power from the consensus of the governed. As a result, the best law enforcement leaders spend countless hours meeting with community stakeholders, understanding their needs and using discretion to decide which arrests serve the best interests of the people. Overly aggressive tactics against certain groups can undermine the trust that is essential to serve effectively. Trust takes years to build and an instant to lose. （後略） 0611日出づる処の名無し2020/07/20(月) 21:39:24.92ID:qxWHR88V アメリカ・カリフォルニア州で、日本食レストランへの投石事件があり、 レストラン関係者をナイフで脅すなどした男が逮捕された。・・・ 新型コロナウイルスの感染拡大が始まった３月以降、全米で起きた アジア系住民への差別行為のうち、４割にあたるおよそ830件が、 カリフォルニア州で起きている。 https://www.fnn.jp/articles/-/64265
ウィーラー市長は、連夜のデモで警察関連施設が炎上した後に出演した米CNNのニュース番組 「ステート・オブ・ザ・ユニオン（State of the Union）」で、ポートランドに派遣されて きた連邦職員が、所属を明らかにしないまま路上でデモ参加者を拘束し、所属不明の車に乗 せて連れ去るといった戦術で状況を「急激にエスカレートさせている」と非難した。
大統領選に向けて「法と秩序」を奉ずる大統領として自身を位置づけようとしているトランプ 氏は19日、ツイッター（Twitter）への投稿で、連邦政府は「ポートランドを傷つけようとし ているのではなく、助けようとしている」と主張。ポートランド市当局について「数か月もの 間、無政府主義者と扇動者を統制できなくなっている」と批判した。 0625日出づる処の名無し2020/07/21(火) 13:36:57.33ID:WWKU+9Hu だが、ウィーラー市長は連邦職員の存在と行動が「火薬庫」に火を付けたと反論。「彼らが現 在用いている戦術のせいで、わが市の住民や、市・州の警察職員から死者が出ることになるの ではないかと恐れている」と述べた。(c)AFP 0626日出づる処の名無し2020/07/21(火) 13:50:05.12ID:WWKU+9Hu>>609 >>624 https://edition.cnn.com/2020/07/20/us/wall-of-moms-portland-protest-trnd/ Dozens of moms formed a human shield to protect protesters from officers outside a federal courthouse in Portland CNN Expansion NYC 2017 PH: JOHN NOWAK Paul MurphyAmanda Jackson By Paul P. Murphy and Amanda Jackson, CNN Updated 0345 GMT (1145 HKT) July 21, 2020 何ダースもの母親たちが、オレゴン州ポートランドの連邦庁舎の外で人間の鎖を作り、 抗議行動者達を（連邦の警護）職員から守る行動に
新型コロナは擬似陽性者が増えていく一方で重症になっている人は全くいないです 日本国内においてはどこへ行っても安全な社会が戻ってきたと考えていい 0638日出づる処の名無し2020/07/21(火) 21:37:29.34ID:9VS+XYuT トランプの米都市占領が始まった。 デモ隊は令状なしで路上から連れ去られている。 我々は、もうそれをファシズムと呼んで差し支えないだろうか？ Trump’s Occupation of American Cities Has Begun- Protesters are being snatched from the streets without warrants. Can we call it fascism yet?・・・ https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/20/opinion/portland-protests-trump.html
もう既に中東産油諸国の大部分の財政は赤字になってるんだね。 UAEの衛星打ち上げは科学技術立国を目指してのことなんだろうが、 もっと手堅くやんなきゃ。 0640日出づる処の名無し2020/07/21(火) 23:03:11.40ID:9VS+XYuT 幻想の終焉 レバノンの避けられない崩壊。 かつて中東のスイスと称賛されたレバノンは深刻な危機に直面している。 経済は崩壊しつつあり、電力や適切な医療はなかなか手に入らない。 国家は国民を完全に失望させた。 End of the IllusionThe Inexorable Collapse of Lebanon- Once celebrated as the Switzerland of the Middle East, Lebanon is facing a severe crisis. Its economy is collapsing, while electricity and adequate medical care are hard to find. The state has completely failed its people.・・・ https://www.spiegel.de/international/world/lebanon-end-of-the-illusion-the-inexorable-collapse-of-lebanon-a-7095aa79-da81-4432-bd3f-6e39d41409ca
レバノンの惨状。 トルコの植民地に自ら復帰して、総督統治下で、宗教集団棲み分け条項が有る 現行憲法の廃棄や「刀狩り」をするしかないよ。 0641日出づる処の名無し2020/07/21(火) 23:16:42.60ID:9VS+XYuT チャーチルの遺産は、一部のインド人に彼の英雄的地位を疑問視させたままだ。 Churchill’s legacy leaves some Indians questioning his hero status・・・ https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-53405121
The latest Rasmussen poll out of Pennsylvania, which Trump won narrowly by a margin of 0.7 percent in 2016, shows Biden in the lead by 3 points, with 48 percent compared with the president's 45 percent. But 4 percent of respondents said they will back "some other candidate," and 3 percent are still "not sure" whom they will vote for. トランプが2016年に0.7％差で勝利のペンシルバニアでバイデンが3％のリード
Ohio, which Trump carried by just over 8 points in 2016. Now, according to Rasmussen's polling, the president trails Biden in the state by 4 points. The Democratic candidate is backed by 47 percent of voters, while Trump is supported by 43 percent. Another 6 percent said they plan to back a different candidate, while 4 percent were unsure. トランプが2016年に8％以上の差で勝利したオハイオ州ではバイデンが4％のリード 0658日出づる処の名無し2020/07/23(木) 10:54:05.07ID:xNU/fx6jhttps://apnews.com/b133f482b2eba88f8bd733e2d15d13ae AP-NORC poll: Very few Americans back full school reopening By COLLIN BINKLEY and HANNAH FINGERHUT 2 hours ago AP世論調査：米国人の10人中1人のみが、完全な学校再開を望む、多数は感染拡大を憂慮
BOSTON (AP) ? Virtual instruction. Mandated masks. Physical distancing. The start of school will look very different this year because of the coronavirus ? and that’s OK with the vast majority of Americans.
Only about 1 in 10 Americans think daycare centers, preschools or K-12 schools should open this fall without restrictions, according to a new poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs. Most think mask requirements and other safety measures are necessary to restart in-person instruction, and roughly 3 in 10 say that teaching kids in classrooms shouldn’t happen at all.
The findings are a sharp contrast to the picture that President Donald Trump paints as he pressures schools to reopen. The Republican president claims to have wide support for a full reopening, arguing that Democrats oppose it for political reasons. この世論調査とは異なって、トランプ政権は学校の再開に向けて圧力をかけている。 大統領は学校再開への多くの支持があると言っている 0659日出づる処の名無し2020/07/23(木) 11:01:14.48ID:xNU/fx6jhttps://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXMZO61884420T20C20A7000000/ 世界のコロナ感染1500万人超、拡大加速 外出制限に緩み 2020/7/23 4:36 (2020/7/23 7:50更新)日本経済新聞 電子版
@nbcnewsより Who's behind Trump's big polling deficit? Two key groups defecting to Biden. Seniors and college-educated whites are fueling a surge in Joe Biden's numbers. nbcnews.com 0665日出づる処の名無し2020/07/23(木) 16:55:55.72ID:xNU/fx6jhttps://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/who-s-behind-trump-s-big-polling-deficit-two-key-n1234605 Who's behind Trump's big polling deficit? Two key groups defecting to Biden. Seniors and college-educated whites are fueling a surge in Joe Biden's numbers.
＜トランプ支持層の変化＞ Trump's erosion among college-educated white voters helps explain why Biden is polling so competitively in Texas and Georgia, traditionally GOP states with vast numbers of suburban white professionals who supported Trump in 2016. It also tracks with congressional district-level polling showing Trump's numbers weighing down Republican candidates in traditionally GOP-leaning suburbs near cities like Indianapolis, St. Louis, Cincinnati and Omaha. 白人大卒層のトランプ支持率の低下がテキサス州やジョージア州など伝統的に保守色の強い 州でのバイデンの強さの説明になる。郊外在住の白人の専門職は2016年にトランプを支持し たが、その層が変化している。地方の各選挙区の議員選挙状況を見ても、都市近郊の郊外居 住者のトランプ離れが共和党に悪影響を及ぼしている。これはインディアナポリス、セント ルイス、シンシナティ、オマハなどの郊外地域である
A silver lining for Trump has always been that whites without college degrees, by far his best group, are overrepresented in battleground states, especially in Great Lakes states like Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. But they are gradually shrinking as a share of the electorate everywhere, as the nation becomes more diverse and college-educated. トランプにとっての希望の光というのは、いつでも白人高卒以下の層で、これが最も支持率が 高い。この層は激戦区の州、特にミシガンやペンシルバニア、ウイスコンシンで影響力が相対 的に大きい。しかしながらこの層は有権者全体に占める比率が、各地ですこしずつ減少してい る。此れは全米で大学進学率が上向いているため。 0666日出づる処の名無し2020/07/23(木) 16:56:07.62ID:xNU/fx6j Census estimates suggest that in 2020, the number of voting-eligible whites without college degrees could decline 7 percent versus 2016. Meanwhile, the number of voting- eligible college-educated whites is poised to increase 16 percent and the number of eligible non-whites is on track to increase 11 percent. In addition, the number of eligible voters 65 and older is on track to surge by 13 percent as more boomers age into that category. Unless Trump can reverse his backslide with college-educated whites and seniors, the demographic math will heavily favor Biden winning the White House. 国勢調査の統計では高卒以下の白人有権者の比率は2016年に比べて2020年は7％低下し得る。 白人の大卒以上の有権者は16％増加し得る。非白人の大卒以上の有権者は11％増加し得る。 0667日出づる処の名無し2020/07/23(木) 17:05:32.84ID:xNU/fx6j 2016 2020 白人・大卒以上 トランプ支持 42% 37% 白人・大卒以上 バイデン支持 51% 58% 白人・高卒以下 トランプ支持 59% 55% 白人・高卒以下 バイデン支持 35% 37%
65歳以上の高齢者トランプ支持 56% 45% 65歳以上の高齢者バイデン支持 41% 50%
Sources: NBC News/Wall Street Journal, ABC News/Washington Post, CNN/SSRS, NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist, Fox News, The New York Times/Siena College, Monmouth University, Quinnipiac University, Suffolk University/USA Today, 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study Graphic: Jiachuan Wu / NBC News
