北が片付いたら、米中闘争に巻き込まれないように東南アジアに少し下がって足場を固める? 0696日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/16(土) 14:35:30.59ID:uoEIHJtV 政府もアレだけど、増税に伴う景気対策にすら横並びで文句言うマスコミは一体なんなんだと 増税なしで財政出動が理想だけど、夢物語になりそうや 0697日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/16(土) 15:05:51.40ID:XgwDkG6n The Economist@TheEconomist・2h The attorney-general's office appears to have concluded that the Trump Foundation’s true purpose was to serve Donald Trump エコノミスト:検事総長のオフィスはトランプ財団の目的が(公称する慈善事業ではなく) トランプ個人に益するためと結論づけた
中国はその後、米国から輸入する石炭や石油など160億ドル相当についても追加関税を講じ る方針。米中の貿易を巡る対立激化で大豆から銅に至る15日の商品相場が下落し、米国の 石炭関連株にとって打撃となる一方で、ブラジルなどの代替供給国の展望を明るくしている。 農業やエネルギーを中心に課される中国の追加関税は、2016年の米大統領選挙でトランプ陣 営を支持した住民の多い地域を標的としている。 原題:Trade War Hits Trump Heartland as China Targets Farms, Mines (2)(抜粋) 0714日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/16(土) 20:12:32.47ID:XgwDkG6nhttp://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/politics/article/2151126/how-donald-trump-making-china-not-america-great-again How Donald Trump is making China, not America, great again Yonden Lhatoo puts the spotlight on how the US president is playing right into China’s hands, particularly in the context of the Singapore and G7 summits PUBLISHED : Saturday, 16 June, 2018, 5:11pm トランプ大統領は、アメリカではなく中国を、如何にして再び偉大にするか Yonden Lhatoo 香港、南華早報(SCMP)
Talk about China winning big, thanks to a man who is constantly pouring contempt on “losers”. While the North Koreans offered nothing of substance to Trump ? in fact they’ve conceded far more in one major accord after another since 1992, each of which collapsed ? the Great Dealmaker stunned even his own people by giving away much more than anyone could have imagined.
Christmas came early for North Korea, even if the hermit kingdom doesn’t celebrate it, and China bagged the best goodies from Santa Trump’s sack without even having the proverbial Yuletide stocking by the fireplace.
By far the biggest bonanza for Beijing from the Singapore summit was Trump’s offer to halt the war games his country regularly holds with South Korea. China has sought an end to the military drills for decades, seeing them as another plank of US hegemony in its neighbourhood. Wish granted. 中国にとってのシンガポール・サミットの最大の成果は米韓軍事演習中止 And, in another unexpected gift for China, the man with no plan raised the possibility of calling home nearly 30,000 American troops stationed in South Korea. You can imagine what a boost that would be for Beijing, seeing the US alienate its traditional regional allies and let China fill the vacuum to further its own strategic interests. 中国にとって予想もしなかったことだが、いまやサミットの後で在韓米軍の3万人の アメリカ兵の撤収の可能性が生まれてきた。アメリカの同盟国に生じる真空状態を 中国が埋めるであろうことを思うと、中国の得る戦略的価値は大きい(後略) 0715日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/16(土) 21:41:09.97ID:bDDsYl/+ ハーヴァード大が、1920〜30年代にユダヤ人入学数を抑えるために用いた、 人格評価で鉛筆を舐める方法で、ずっとアジア系入学者数を押さえてきており、 アジア系が入学者の4割以上を占めるべきところ、2割弱に抑えている事が分かった。 なお、同様の「方針」がアイビーリーグの全大学で共有されている模様。 Harvard Rated Asian-American Applicants Lower on Personality Traits, Suit Says・・・ https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/15/us/harvard-asian-enrollment-applicants.html
In short, the only way Canada could develop a bomb in secret would be to somehow acquire rogue nuclear technology and operate it in secret. While this might be relatively simple for an isolated authoritarian state, it’s next to impossible for a democracy with extremely close defence ties to the United States.
The U.S. has historically frowned upon all foreign nuclear proliferation, even from allies. In the 1960s, for instance, U.S. pressure was key in shutting down the Swedish effort to build an atomic bomb. 0717日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/16(土) 23:03:50.60ID:apiKy90E シナチョンはチーターだからしゃーない。 0718日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/16(土) 23:04:38.77ID:bDDsYl/+ 日大アメフト事件が米大学スポーツでは起こり得ない理由・・・ https://diamond.jp/articles/-/172462
Akerman noted that Manafort, who is 69 years old, could soon be facing life in jail. “And here it could be even worse,” Akerman said. “It could be the beginning of a life sentence. Paul Manafort, if he does not cooperate, may never ever see the outside of a jail cell.” 0720日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/16(土) 23:20:27.93ID:+nC5o4D4>>678 それよりは関わったサイト関係者(プロバイダあたりまで)を犯罪幇助で厳罰じゃね 0721日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 07:44:57.93ID:WRFHw5zZhttps://globalnews.ca/news/4276199/americans-justin-trudeau-trade-spat-donald-trump-poll/ June 15, 2018 4:00 pm Updated: June 15, 2018 5:46 pm More Americans side with Justin Trudeau than Donald Trump in trade spat: Ipsos poll By Rebecca Joseph and Katie Dangerfield Global News 世論調査:G7でのトランプ大統領とトルドー首相の諍い、どちらを支持?
The poll shows that Canadians are firmly on Trudeau’s side ? with about three- quarters of respondents (72 per cent) saying they approve of how he’s handling the situation. Only 14 per cent of Canadian respondents said the same about Trump. As for Americans, 57 per cent of respondents approved of how Canada is handling the dispute ? while only 37 per cent said they approved of how Trump was doing. 0722日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 09:35:07.85ID:0ARS1qzz>>721 終わったあとにホスト国がツバを吐きかけるのはよろしくない TPPのときもそうだったが、カナダの首相は功を焦りすぎて勇み足をしやすいタイプみたい そのうち各国首脳から無視されるか、うまく利用されて捨てられそう 0723日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 09:43:28.36ID:6J/3LBy/http://adpweb.com/eco/
自国の産業と企業を育成し、外国のライバルの技術を吸収した後、淘汰(とうた)する中 国の反則と差別は今に始まったことではない。LG化学とサムスンSDI、SKイノベーション など韓国の電気自動車向けバッテリーメーカーは、数千億ウォンを投資し、中国に工場を 建設した。しかし、中国の補助金差別に直面し、何年も悔しさに耐えている。外資による 投資を誘致しておきながら、外資に不利益を与える国は世界でも中国だけだ。 朝鮮日報/朝鮮日報日本語版 0726日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 10:10:31.75ID:WRFHw5zZhttps://www.politico.com/story/2018/06/16/breitbart-traffic-declining-trump-bannon-649571 Breitbart traffic declines for seventh straight month The once-dominant site is suffering after the departure of founder Steve Bannon, but retains a core of MAGA-aligned readers. By JASON SCHWARTZ 06/16/2018 06:36 AM EDT 一時はスチーブ・バノンの拠点として注目を集めたBreitbartへの訪問者が7ヶ月連続減少
Breitbart’s traffic declined in May for the seventh straight month, according to comScore metrics, bringing the site to its lowest level of readership since January 2015, and half of what it was a year ago.
Since the ouster of former executive chairman Steve Bannon in January, the site has been forced to search for a new identity, and, like other ideological publishers, has been pinched by changes to Facebook’s algorithms in January. Its current slide began in November, though, three months after Bannon was forced out of his top adviser role in the White House, but two months before he left Breitbart.
一時期はalt-rightの先駆と見られていたがバノンが去って影響力は減衰 In the world of more traditional conservative media, where Breitbart was seen as an early alt-right disrupter, critics were quick to cite the readership figures as signs of an overall decline in influence. “I never hear about them, anymore,” said conservative commentator Matt Lewis, in an email. “Nor do I have a sense that they drive the debate or the discussion ?or that anyone is worried about them writing something negative about them.” 0727日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 10:17:49.28ID:WRFHw5zZhttp://www.afpbb.com/articles/-/3177904 米国民をより落胆させたのはトランプ氏かイヴァンカ氏か? 2018年6月17日 8:00 発信地:ワシントンD.C./米国 [ ロシア・CIS ]
池田信夫@ikedanob・22h 進次郎氏を含めて多くの政治家が理解してないが、福島第一の廃炉費用21.5兆円のうち、 東電が40年で16兆円出すことになっている。原発の利益は、その最大の財源だ。柏崎の 利益は2基で年1800億円だが、それでは足りない。福島第二は貴重な財源だった。 0733日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 10:59:46.52ID:D53TMc+h 今度からカナダ外してブラジル入れるとかすればいい 0734日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 11:31:00.88ID:d8+r3ZHS>>732 池田氏は東電を国営か行政組織と勘違いしている……? 0735日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 12:08:41.35ID:WRFHw5zZhttps://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-06-16/new-york-s-trump-lawsuit-may-be-a-map-for-mueller New York’s Case Against Trump May Be Prophetic Why the complaint involving the president’s foundation is a road map for Mueller. By Francis Wilkinson 2018年6月16日 23:00 JST ニューヨーク州検事総長のBarbara Underwoodの訴状はProphetic(予言的)である トランプ財団への訴状はモラー特別検察官へのロードマップ
For a more prophetic vision of the future, you should read the complaint against Trump, his children and his foundation by New York State Attorney General Barbara Underwood. Why prophetic? Because it’s likely a preface to the report or complaint that special counsel Robert Mueller will bring. The alleged crimes described by Underwood are not similar to those being investigated by Mueller. But the behavior is.
One stumbling block to public understanding of the Mueller probe, in addition to a steady stream of propaganda and lies designed to undermine it, is that it’s hard for even a cynic to accept the premises of what is being investigated.
U.S. history simply doesn’t offer a lot of reference points for a major-party political candidate who so casually subverts the law and sells out the nation’s highest values. How many Richard Nixons are there?
To believe the accusations that Trump colluded with Russia, laundered vast amounts of money and/or put American foreign policy on the auction block in return for the enrichment of his family requires an awkward leap of faith. You have to believe this leader is both profoundly corrupt -- far more so than Nixon -- and staggeringly sloppy -- again more so than Nixon.
This is essentially the portrait that Underwood paints in the detailed accusations against the head of the Trump Foundation: that of a shady huckster who engages in “persistently illegal conduct” and is buffoonishly sloppy along the way. 0736日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 12:09:43.06ID:WRFHw5zZ How does Underwood know campaign personnel were involved in spending decisions? Because the Trumpsters are so recklessly contemptuous of rules that they left a trail of this blatant violation of campaign-finance law on their emails. At least one email thread included Trump campaign manager Corey Lewandowski weighing in on where he wanted the foundation’s tax-deductible funds directed.
The foundation also made a $25,000 contribution to Florida Attorney General Pam Bondi, who subsequently determined that fraud charges against Trump’s university were not a proper matter for her office. The foundation listed the contribution as going to a Kansas nonprofit with the same name as Bondi’s political committee.
“The Foundation has no credible explanation for the false reporting of grant recipients to the IRS and the State of New York,” Underwood concluded.
Trump will likely claim he was uninvolved and unaware. But Underwood’s complaint has that covered, too.
Mr. Trump, who was the sole signatory on the Foundation's bank accounts, approved all grants and other disbursements from the Foundation. Accounting staff for the Trump Organization had responsibility for issuing checks from the Foundation, and issued the checks based solely on Mr. Trump's approval before presenting the checks to Mr. Trump for signature.
Indeed, the foundation’s board didn’t provide much of a check on Trump’s personal whims, owing to the fact that, in violation of the law, it “has not met since 1999 and does not oversee the activities of the Foundation in any way.”
It took the attorney general’s office months to investigate this narrow corner of the Trump universe ? even though the evidence was lying around in plain sight. Mueller’s investigation is far broader and more consequential. His complaint may yet take a while. But it should be a doozy. 0737日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 13:52:50.18ID:WRFHw5zZ ブルームバーグ・ビデオ、英語音声、日本語字幕 https://twitter.com/BloombergJapan/status/1008190340946276352/video/1 トランプ大統領の米国第一主義は中国にも好都合:ナティクシス 2018年6月15日 08:33 JST トランプ米大統領の貿易政策に関して、ナティクシスのアジア・太平洋地域担当チーフ エコノミスト、アリシア・ガルシア・ヘレロ氏が考察する。 ブルームバーグTVのインタビュー。 (Source: Bloomberg) 「中国に好都合なのは明らかです、米国は自分を孤立化させているからです」 0738日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 14:10:07.18ID:OwZyBPf6 好都合なら中国は黙ってればよいのに 0739日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 14:26:24.57ID:9HtBvkrB 中国はトランプ大統領のようなタイプは苦手なんだよね 有利と言われても扱いにくいと思うよ 0740日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 15:36:17.04ID:WRFHw5zZ The Economist@TheEconomist・5h エコノミスト雑誌 The master negotiator appears to have no clue how to haggle with North Korea (自称の)交渉の達人は、北朝鮮に対して 如何に haggle (押し問答する,言い争う; (しつこく)値切る)するかが出来ないようだ Dealing with North Korea, Trump puts showmanship first
The Economist@TheEconomist・6h Even if North Korea acts in good faith, complete denuclearisation could take more than a decade 例え北朝鮮が誠実に行動したとしても、完全な非核化には10年以上が必要 Kim Jhon Un did better than Donald Tramp at the Singapole summit 0741日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 16:27:41.25ID:wyBnde1E>>732 こいつはほんといつも正論と思い込んだ机上の空論ばかりだな 運転できるならとっくにやっとるわハゲ 0742日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 17:26:50.56ID:AJAmS91p 高校バスケ試合中、審判殴られ病院に搬送 強豪校留学生選手(コンゴからの留学生)に 6/17(日) 16:27配信
Clearly the nuclear issue is the critical issue of this summit and the engagement process that follows it. But human rights are important as well. The President has already been walking back expectations for the summit. He told journalists: “We’re moving along. . . . If it doesn’t happen, maybe it will happen later. We will see, but we are talking.” No more talk from National Security Advisor John Bolton about the necessity to follow the “Libya model” for immediate denuclearization. 0748日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 18:57:46.97ID:wbRqgCxz>>744 他所の国を良くする前に、貴方の住み暮らす街や人々の暮らしを良くして下さい 0749日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 19:12:40.59ID:WRFHw5zZhttps://jp.wsj.com/articles/SB12638417168000953295604584284671485581540 中国、監視の目は車両にも 識別装置義務付けへ By Yoko Kubota 2018 年 6 月 14 日 03:00 JST
トランプとプーチンは政治スタイルが似てるからここが仲良くなるのは未だ理解できるんだけどさ …今の日本とトランプは合わないから、安倍ちゃんと仲良くなってもトランプは日本にはかなり厳しい事をやって来るとも思う 0758日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 21:39:01.48ID:0ARS1qzz>>755 薬物による尊厳死は認められてないだろ 治療の中断による死は果たして尊厳死と言えるのか? 0759日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 21:46:43.26ID:zb7AuXSe そりゃ尊厳死じゃなくて積極的な安楽死だろう そんなの認めてるのは一部の国だけだ 0760日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 21:50:09.94ID:zb7AuXSe 韓国のも調べてみたら延命措置を止めるだけの尊厳死が認められただけだな 日本の場合、ガイドラインがあるだけだから医師が刑罰受ける可能性もあるから法制化しようというならまだわかる 0761日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 21:53:26.31ID:EMdKsciP インドの大気汚染が酷くなるばかりで、粉塵が熱を閉じ込めて気温が40度以上に 達したり、高い呼吸器疾患率を示す等の被害が出ている。 Delhi’s air pollution is now so bad it is literally off the chart・・・ Meteorologists said the presence of a layer of dust across the city is also trapping heat, sending temperatures soaring in excess of 40C.・・・ India, home to 14 of the world’s top 20 most polluted cities, has the highest rate of respiratory diseases of any country.・・・ ・・・about half Delhi’s 4.4m schoolchildren had stunted lung development and would never completely recover.・・・ https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/jun/15/delhi-blanketed-by-smog-so-toxic-it-cant-be-measured
それでもトランプ氏の言動がサミットで波紋を広げたのは間違いなさそうだ。米紙ウォー ル・ストリート・ジャーナルによれば、トランプ氏は安倍晋三首相に、移民問題に関し 「私は2500万人のメキシコ人を(日本に)送ることができる。そうすればあなたはすぐに 退陣だ」と述べた。一部メディアでは「暴言」と受け止められている。 さらにトランプ氏は欧州連合(EU)当局が独占禁止法違反などで米企業に科す巨額の罰 金を取り上げ、ユンケル欧州委員長を「残忍な殺人者」と数回呼んだ。フランスのマクロ ン大統領には「すべてのテロリストはパリにいる」と指摘した。 0773日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 22:35:03.38ID:3CARqTfu>>771 自己紹介芸は勘弁してw 0774日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 22:36:36.79ID:y9hvNe4k マウント取ってニヤニヤするだけのお仕事です 0775日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 23:39:32.89ID:WRFHw5zZhttp://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-associate-roger-stone-reveals-new-contact-with-russian-national-during-2016-campaign/2018/06/17/4a8123c8-6fd0-11e8-bd50-b80389a4e569_story.html Washington Post: Trump associate Roger Stone reveals new contact with Russian national during 2016 campaign ? MIAMI ? One day in late May 2016, Roger Stone ? the political dark sorcerer and longtime confidant of Donald Trump ? slipped into his Jaguar and headed out to meet a man with a Make America Great Again hat and a viscous Russian accent. トランプ選挙陣営のアドバイザーであったRoger Stoneは2016年5月にマイアミでロシア人 とのコンタクトがあったことを打ち明けた ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/392662-roger-stone-russian-wanted-trump-to-pay-2m-for-dirt-on-clinton-during Roger Stone: Russian wanted Trump to pay $2M for dirt on Clinton during the campaign BY JACQUELINE THOMSEN - 06/17/18 09:08 AM EDT トランプ選挙キャンペーンのアドバイザーRoger Stoneによれば、当時、ロシア人が ヒラリーのスキャンダル情報の対価として、トランプ側が$2Mを支払うように望んだ
Former Trump campaign adviser Roger Stone said that he met with a Russian man during the 2016 campaign who wanted President Trump to pay $2 million for damaging information on Hillary Clinton. 0776日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/17(日) 23:48:00.09ID:WRFHw5zZ トランプ大統領、米韓軍事演習の中止を譲歩しすぎと批判されていることについて
Donald J. Trump@realDonaldTrump Holding back the “war games” during the negotiations was my request because they are VERY EXPENSIVE and set a bad light during a good faith negotiation. Also, quite provocative. Can start up immediately if talks break down, which I hope will not happen! 9:48 PM - Jun 17, 2018
An American businessman looked to set up a communications back channel between North Korea and the Trump administration through White House senior adviser and presidential son-in-law Jared Kushner last year, The New York Times reported on Sunday.
Financier Gabriel Schulze reportedly contacted the Trump administration last summer, saying that a top North Korean official wanted to speak with Kushner about a possible meeting between President Trump and Kim Jong Un. Kushner referred the talks to then-CIA director Mike Pompeo, according to the Times, which noted that Kushner may not have contacted then-Secretary of State Rex Tillerson because of their tense relationship.
The White House and CIA declined to comment to the Times about Schulze’s reported contact with Kushner. “I do not discuss the nature of my business or personal relationships,” Schulze told the newspaper in a statement.
Kushner also reportedly created a back channel between Chinese officials and the Trump administration last year. Kushner and the Chinese ambassador to the U.S. then organized a meeting between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, according to the Times.(後略) 0778日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/18(月) 00:55:36.89ID:vtNyElIO <まんが> あいつは危険だ! http://api.theweek.com/sites/default/files/20180614edsheb.jpg?resize=807x807
一方、すでに生産・投資・消費・雇用の悪化という「4重苦」を抱える韓国経済は、さら に別の悪材料に直撃されることになった。「対外依存度の高い韓国経済は、世界貿易戦争 の最大の被害者になる」というのが専門家の一致した見方だ。(後略) 0786日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/18(月) 07:12:59.48ID:vtNyElIOhttps://www.nationaljournal.com/s/669236?unlock=L6H53FDW9A8QQYG9 The GOP’s Rapid Retreat in the Midwest Republicans have abandoned Senate races in states Trump carried, and could lose several key governorships as well. Trump’s boasting of crashing the blue wall is rapidly becoming ancient history. June 17, 2018, 6 a.m. 中間選挙に向け、中西部で共和党が急速に後退 トランプ陣営が大統領選で獲得した幾つかの州で、共和党は上院議員選を諦め、 更にキイとなる知事選でも敗退の恐れ トランプ大統領の誇る、ブルー・ウオールの突破は、昔の話に
One of the biggest red flags for President Trump’s reelection emerged this week from a region that he can never stop talking about: the Rust Belt. The president still frequently likes to remind reporters about his conventional-wisdom-busting victories in the blue-wall states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, but he isn’t paying attention to how much they’ve reverted to Democratic form lately. ラストベルト地帯のウイスコンシン、ミシガン、ペンシルバニアはトランプ大統領が大統領選 で勝利し、今尚それを語っているのだが、今は大きな赤旗(危険信号)が立っている Senate Republicans are all but conceding that Democratic senators will be coasting to reelection in Midwestern states that Trump narrowly carried. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, notably, has left off Democratic seats in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Ohio when he listed off the most competitive races for this year’s midterms. 上院議員線で共和党が危惧するのは、ウイスコンシン、ペンシルバニア、ミシガン、オハイオ The Democrats’ leading Senate super PAC, so confident of its prospects in the region, isn’t reserving any time for Sens. Tammy Baldwin, Bob Casey, Debbie Stabenow, or Sherrod Brown. Meanwhile, Ohio is becoming a major warning sign for the GOP’s fortunes in the upcoming midterms?and beyond. The state backed Trump by a healthy 8-point margin in 2016, fueled by dramatic swings towards Republicans along the blue-collar eastern spine of the state. Trump’s winning margin in bellwether Ohio was nearly identical to his winning margin in ruby- red Texas. Given the promising political trends from Trump’s election, Republicans were hopeful that they could upset Brown and hold the governorship with an established figure like Attorney General Mike DeWine. Early polling showed the Senate race competitive and DeWine holding a healthy lead over the opposition. 0787日出づる処の名無し垢版2018/06/18(月) 07:13:46.45ID:vtNyElIO But the political movement in Ohio is headed in the opposite direction, even with Trump’s recent uptick in popularity. Trump’s job approval in the state is at 43 percent with 54 percent disapproving, according to a new Quinnipiac survey. Nearly half of respondents to a Suffolk University poll of Ohio voters said their midterm vote would be a check on the president, compared to 28 percent saying their vote would be to support Trump’s agenda. And Brown now holds a commanding double-digit lead over Rep. Jim Renacci in the latest public polls, with Democrat Richard Cordray inching ahead of DeWine. 一方知事選の状況は Governor races in the other Trump states aren’t looking much better. Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker has watched his party lose numerous downballot elections on Trump turf and is openly concerned about the GOP’s standing in the state, despite a lackluster Democratic field against him. Democrats will be aggressively contesting the open Michigan governor’s seat, eager to litigate the record of a Trump-friendly attorney general (Bill Schuette) in a traditionally blue state. Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Wolf is coasting to a second term, with The Cook Political Report changing its rating of the race to Likely Democratic. Cook has also shifted Iowa GOP Gov. Kim Reynolds’s race against businessman Fred Hubbell for a full term from Likely Republican to Toss-Up.
These results should be alarming for Republicans, who were hoping to hang on to Trump’s unconventional coalition for the presidency over the long haul. These Midwestern states feature a disproportionate share of those famed Obama-Trump voters, whom many Democrats feared would move permanently into the Republican column. Even as Trump is shamelessly trying to win them over by implementing tariffs on steel and aluminum and fighting polarizing culture wars, many are defecting back towards the Democrats for this year’s midterms. The growing economy and shrinking unemployment rate simply aren’t enough to keep them in the fold.